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REBGV Benchmark prices June 2007

One more step up the mountain - the Benchmark price for a detached home in Vancouver hit $715,715 last month according to the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver. Here’s my standard short term graph, we’re one month short of a year on it:

Townhomes and apartments were up as well - according to the REBGV this was the “second best June on record”. The attached benchmark hit $443,060 while the benchmark condo now goes for $360,469:

Last year prices saw a high point hit in September - Where will this years peak be?

Thanks to Agent Will for the stats package.

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44 Responses to “REBGV Benchmark prices June 2007”

  1. 1
    freako Says:
    Ok, here is the monthly payment for the June benchmark SFH, 20% down, 5 year fixed, no taxes or other expenses included:

    $3,626.00 per month.
    $43,512.00 annually.

    That is probably 100% of the median household pretax income.

    Pope, do you have the median for GV SFH?

  2. 2
    the pope Says:
    Freako here’s the median selling prices for Vancouver West June 2007, is that what you what you were asking?

    Detached: $1,385,000
    Attached: $700,000
    Apartment: $419,000

    And for Vancouver East:

    Detached: $644,500
    Attached: $486,000
    Apartment: $299,000

    Interestingly the median selling price for an apartment on the east side actually dropped $7,500 from the previous month.

  3. 3
    the pope Says:
    Jim: You’ll have to wait a month before you can safely name your new blog “I bought at the peak”.
  4. 4
    freako Says:
    “Freako here’s the median selling prices for Vancouver West June 2007, is that what you what you were asking?”

    Thanks, but I was wondering about GV median detached. I have this nagging suspicion that we are very very close to having the dubious honour of being the most expensive metro area in Nort America. Only Oakland and SF are higher, but I expect those medians to implode once the sales mix returns to normal.

  5. 5
    Patiently Waiting Says:
    East Van condos are the most insanely priced. Generally, I think prices will come down 30% but East Van condos over 50%.
  6. 6
    blue Says:
    I find the numbers interesting - but without doing a deep analysis, I feel like these numbers must be centered in certain high profile areas (i.e. Kerrisdale, Marpole etc) - because I watch two neighbourhoods out here in the burbs - and nothing is moving.

    In fact, there’s been the same five houses for sale on my street for months.

    just a perspective from 45 minutes away from downtown

  7. 7
    Ultraman Says:
    Ok, first off I’m drunk. I just had dinner at the Blue Water Café in Yaletown, courtesy of some Mutual Fund Co.

    I live in Yaletown, has been since ‘97 before Yaletown was cool. Both My wife and I work for a well known Credit Union and makes $160k+ of combined income. No kids, one compact car. $270k mortgage, no other significant debt. Plenty of discrecionary spending.

    So, I’m leaving the restaurant, not a cheap place to eat, it’s packed on a Wednesday night and I’m thinking to myself, where the f@#k, all these people come from? Where is all that money come from?

    You know I’m not a frugal person. I practically have nothing saved for retirement, I’m a Certified Financial Planner but have no problem spending money because I believe pleasure whether it’s a daily designer coffe or an orgasm, it’s not something you can put in the bank. Unlike money what you don’t have today, you won’t have twice tomorrow. But throughing big money at the Blue Water Café on an ordinary Wednesday night….

    Anyway, RE or Blue Water Café, something has got to give. This can’t be real.

  8. 8
    freako Says:
    “I feel like these numbers must be centered in certain high profile areas (i.e. Kerrisdale, Marpole etc) - because I watch two neighbourhoods out here in the burbs - and nothing is moving.

    Well, the numbers are based on what sells, nothing but. That is why the median can really jump around.

    The benchmark, on the other hand, is adjusted for quality, probably a fair representation of relative price levels. Though I wonder if price compression monkeys with the benchmark.

  9. 9
    satv Says:
    Anyway, RE or Blue Water Café, something has got to give. This can’t be real.

    yeah I have notice lots of cars on street these days that says alberta on number plate.

    hey robsnumber congratulation on your blogsite and wish you very very good good luck.

    I know robchipman only through his link on vancouvercondo.info,I have never post any comment on his site, thats why I don’t really care for what ever some one point out but I never oppose his theory I feel like he is absolutely right.congratulations once again.

  10. 10
    freako Says:
    “thats why I don’t really care for what ever some one point out but I never oppose his theory I feel like he is absolutely right.”

    What is his theory?

  11. 11
    depresso Says:
    Depressing.
  12. 12
    ReductiMat Says:
    Ultraman, the best time to post is when your drunk.

    It’s the only time I am without-a-doubt confident that everything I say is 100% correct.

    Of course the next day things change and…

    Back to the topic at hand, we have been in Yaletown since ‘99. I am seeing a hell of a lot more Lambo’s, Ferrari’s and Bentley’s than I have ever seen. It has been making me go, Hmmmmmmm for some time now.

    Ah well, we live in interesting times.

  13. 13
    Londonernow Says:
    Sochi has just one the next winter olympics!!! I guess given this news property can only go up there and everyone is going to be buying. Be ahead of the game and sell in Vancouver and buy in Sochi!
  14. 14
    patriotz Says:
    I guess given this news property can only go up there and everyone is going to be buying

    That’s right, everyone wants to live in Russia and they’re running out of land too! The winter sports will be held in the mountains of the North Caucasus, home to that other famous fun-and-games place, um, what’s it called?

    Sochi will be a natural for foreign investors who will be attracted by Russia’s ridiculous visa restrictions, red tape, corruption, and enterprising “biznessmen”.

  15. 15
    Ulsterman Says:
    OT: Oh so THIS is why Vancouver is sooooo liveable. Rick Mercer skit:

    http://tinyurl.com/35gyhx

  16. 16
    el bbub Says:
    patriotz

    Sochi has been a place where everyone wanted to live since 2002. Prices have actually quadrupled, unlike in Vancouver. This housing boom affected the whole Eastern hemisphere. Prices in some parts, now, are literally 10 times higher, and I speak from personal experience.

    Don’t even compare wages in Sochi and their housing prices. You’ll faint.

  17. 17
    patriotz Says:
    Well everyone in Russia may well want to live in Sochi, but that’s not where the jobs are, or at least the jobs that pay more than minimum wage.

    The fact is that Sochi is a has-been tourist destination. Successful Russians don’t go there anymore, just as they don’t drive Russian cars. They go to places like Turkey and Egypt.

    And the chances of this place attracting significant foreign tourism are about zero.

    If you think the 2010 Olympics are about putting the taxpayer’s money in the right pockets, you ain’t seen nothing yet.

  18. 18
    craigpbbrett Says:
    To try and ease the depression around here I give you two Bloomberg stories from Europe today.

    The first: “July 5 (Bloomberg) — Bank of England policy makers raised interest rates for the fifth time since August and said they’re concerned inflation will stay above their target, adding to investor speculation that another move is likely this year.”

    The second: ” The Bloomberg Europe Real Estate Index just completed its worst quarter in a decade and the stocks are still expensive compared with European averages. Robert Parkes, who advises pension fund managers as a strategist at HSBC Holdings Plc, said the stocks have further to decline.

    “There’s a lot of negative momentum and it will continue for a while longer,” said Parkes, who is based in London. “Why try and catch a falling knife?”

    The global real estate boom will come to an end, and the end will likely be spectacular for cities that have most outstripped their fundamentals. I would put Vancouver very close to the top of that list.

  19. 19
    HADENOUGH Says:
    Hasn’t the Olympics always sort of been like the kiss-of-death for most cities? Huge debts and big party clean up?

    This idea that everyone will want to live in Vancouver after the Olympics (they think that in Victoria too) is just nuts. I love Barcelona but how could I live there??

    Can you just hear Ingrid in Dusseldorf “Wolfgang, quit your job, pack up the kids we are moving to Vancouver. It looked pretty on TV”.

  20. 20
    Clarke Says:
    Had Enough:
    You are pretty much bang on vis a vis the fuzzy logic around the benefits of the games. My personal favourite was the study that showed the games would pay for themselves based upon increased tourism over the 20 years following the event. There will be a big party for a couple of weeks in 2010, a number of development types will have new cars and boats, and the rest of us will have something to pay off for twenty years.
  21. 21
    Jim Says:
    Pope: I paid slightly below the detached median. I had my realtor send me all the solds since January and all the current listings. If I had a time machine and could get all my renos done as of today I would sell for about an instant $200k profit,less comission, legal,taxes. However if the market dives this fall,I consider this my hubris cushion and can sit tight until 2020 when it comes back.
  22. 22
    el bbub Says:
    The ones who bought recently won’t do much partying when Olympics hit.

    damn those Albertans… where the hell is that place anyway?

  23. 23
    depresso Says:
    The global real estate boom will come to an end, and the end will likely be spectacular for cities that have most outstripped their fundamentals. I would put Vancouver very close to the top of that list.

    I believe that the canadian city which will experience the worst crash will be Edmonton. The inventories there are already skyrocketing and prices are 200% above the levels from just 2 years ago. I can understand why someone finds Vancouver attractive, but Edmonton is one of the biggest shitholes in North America.

  24. 24
    Jim Says:
    I think we should boycott “robsnumber” as it will result in the end of “The Best Real Estate Anywhere”.
  25. 25
    Jim Says:
    reducimat:
    You remind me of an observation I have yet to enunciate. Over the last 25 years I have noticed a dramatic improvement in the quality of autos parked outside of fairly modest homes. Likely because:
    1.Credit is cheap
    2.Houses are so expensive only the truly rich can afford them.
    In Point Grey one neighbour (home owner-no mortgage) drives a rattle trap 10 year old Toyota. Another has a Porche and a LandRover. Guess which one is the retired teacher and which ones are the D.I.N.K.S.? Bothe their houses look pretty much the same to me.
  26. 26
    patriotz Says:
    Edmonton is one of the biggest shitholes in North America.

    A mini-Dallas or Houston with Arctic winters. And Edmonton is about three times the price? Look out below.

  27. 27
    satv Says:
    The pop

    thanx for the good work always,these benchmarks are exclusively availabel only for user’s here.

    freeko

    thanks to assist the pop and puting your hard work immideatly after.

    that theory you want to know is very very basic principle to keep the bussiness going.

    this is what my mother once tought me some examples are given down here

    doctors never say that they will let their patient die.
    laywers never say that they will let their client lose.
    rennie or chip never say bla bla bla.

    patients die some times,clients lose some times,so does real estate sometimes.

    chipman is very simple his hold or prediction is based on fact not on speculations.

    his commentary changed everyday according to available source from market everyday.very simple if something is up he mention that, if some thing is down so does his commentary.

    hadenough said
    Hasn’t the Olympics always sort of been like the kiss-of-death for most cities? Huge debts and big party clean up?

    then what a life without marriage’s,parties,and games people will freez on their sofa’s

    acctualy olympics are being organized for the same reason as you said,thats to measure the impact on our social,economy,real estate and impact on our daily life and our future.

    so far we are doing awesome this boom also genrate lots of jobs and rate of pay.those tonz of construction projects keeping the unemployment rate down.

    after that tonz of jobs can be created to manage those projects for their life time.

    nothing to worry Canada is not like tw country,our governments are capable to take people out of anything.

    Dilogue:
    fire on the ice our city is beautiful paradise.

  28. 28
    blue Says:
    another anecdote re: all the beautiful cars

    I knew a man 2 years ago who took out a second mortgage on his home to buy a hummer (that was just after his new baby was born of course).

    so for myself, I don’t see any of these monthly increase in numbers as depressing - because I live where first time “detached” home buyers should be coming - and like I mentioned earlier, nothing is moving around here.

    so all these numbers mean to me is a harder drop when things do turn.

  29. 29
    Swirlyman Says:
    This Miami Herald story:
    http://tinyurl.com/2wyj6e
    (which I saw quoted on the Housing Panic blog) reminds me of the high-priced condos on the edge of Gastown and the DTES, e.g. the “W” building. Any stories from owners living there yet?
  30. 30
    satv Says:
    Gastown and the DTES, e.g. the “W” building. Any stories from owners living there yet?

    gastown is up up up more than vancouver west.”W” will complete around 2009 so still under construction.

    best thing about gastown their is hardly any one selling.this town is reborn and have a bright future, another best thing people hardly need a cars here just walk around and enjoy life like heaven on earth,that cluster which bite people will be removed around 2009 may be to alberta farms.

    if some one purchased in “w”district is making almost 200k on 250k purchased.this town is bryan adams town,he had sing this song heaven long time ago,lyrics of his songs become true up and coming the best of the best GASTOWN.

    Heaven

    Oh - thinkin’ about all our younger years
    There was only you and me
    We were young and wild and free
    Now nothin’ can take you away from me
    We’ve been down that road before
    But that’s over now
    You keep me comin’ back for more

    Chorus

    Baby you’re all that I want
    When you’re lyin’ here in my arms
    I’m findin’ it hard to believe
    We’re in heaven
    And love is all that I need
    And I found it here in your heart
    It isn’t too hard to see
    We’re in heaven

    Oh - once in your life you find someone
    Who will turn your world around
    Bring you up when you’re feelin’ down
    Ya-nothin’ could change what you mean to me
    Oh there’s lots that I could say
    But just hold me now
    Cause our love will light the way

    Chorus

    I’ve been waitin’ for so long
    For somethin’ to arrive
    For love to come along
    Now our dreams are comin’ true
    Through the good times and the bad
    Ya - I’ll be standin’ there by you

  31. 31
    shikko Says:
    depresso said:

    …but Edmonton is one of the biggest shitholes in North America.

    Bite your tongue! That title belongs to Gary, Indiana; all other cities are just pretenders to the (porcelain) throne.

  32. 32
    si fu Says:
    “…reminds me of the high-priced condos on the edge of Gastown and the DTES, e.g. the “W” building. Any stories from owners living there yet”

    The Woodwards building is still incomplete, and the Salient Group are making a new condo development by gutting and refitting a building across the street called Paris Block.

    I think it is fair to say the new residents will get a real eyeful if they look around their new trendy and edgy neighbourhood. Until one of the locals kills them for their wallet.

    They’d be better off in Beirut.

  33. 33
    si fu Says:
    BTW, Beirut was once known as the Paris of the Middle East
  34. 34
    Jim Says:
    Upon closer scrutiny of THE GRAPHS, it would appear the “correction” happened last Septemeber to January and I missed it. Oh well at least I bought on the way back up.
  35. 35
    ReductiMat Says:
    Well done Jim. Riches await.
  36. 36
    tulip-Mania2 Says:
    ratios don’t apply to Vancouver of course

    “Across the globe, studies show that in the long term the main driver of house prices is income. The ratio of average house prices to average incomes is currently flashing red in America, Britain, Spain and quite a few other developed countries where it has soared to record highs—ie, above levels that preceded previous crashes”

  37. 37
    patriotz Says:
    At the peak of the boom in 2004, the prices of luxury apartments in Shanghai were rising at an annual rate of 50%, but the government has since successfully cooled the market with a capital-gains tax on homes resold within five years and an increase in minimum down payments.

    Well I guess sometimes there’s something to be said for having a government that doesn’t have to cater to Donald Trump, or Li Ka-Shing wannabees as the case may be. Imagine any government in Canada or the US doing such a thing.

  38. 38
    the pope Says:
    Satv: please don’t post the entire lyrics to a Brian Adams song - if you really feel its pertinent just link to them.
  39. 39
    beta Says:
    Well I guess sometimes there’s something to be said for having a government that doesn’t have to cater to Donald Trump

    the benefit of a central government…so long as it’s making good decisions and not horrific ones.

  40. 40
    markx Says:
    Just unbelievable numbers. Oh well, I’m out of here. I’ll be back when all the condos finish and sit vacant. I’m going to Montreal, and the apartment lease I’m taking over from is managed by a real company, and the rent stay the same. I anticipate heavy turnover in GVRD rental stock, and being homeless is not my preferred way of waiting out a housing bubble.
  41. 41
    freako Says:
    “Satv: please don’t post the entire lyrics to a Brian Adams song - if you really feel its pertinent just link to them. “

    Or at least babelfish it. Actually, I betcha it’d come out pretty funny.

  42. 42
    ReductiMat Says:
    satv is getting sloppy. Not putting in as much effort with his obfuscator.
  43. 43
    jesse Says:
    tulip:“ratios don’t apply to Vancouver of course”

    The Economist bullish on East Asian housing? Sounds like a sell signal to me :)

  44. 44
    tulip-Mania2 Says:
    I’m with Robin Hood / Mr. Data Thief on this one . He/she has done nothing wrong, and certainly is not seeking any monetary gain from it.