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	<title>Comments on: GreaterFool.ca -predictions of a canadian RE crash</title>
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	<description>Bubble? What Bubble?</description>
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		<title>By: Drachen</title>
		<link>http://vancouvercondo.info/2008/03/greaterfoolca-predictions-of-a-canadian-re-crash.html#comment-12385</link>
		<dc:creator>Drachen</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Mar 2008 17:15:12 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Is it just me or is there a subtle irony at play here?  MR and Krrish debating whether Gold or Real Estate is where you should put your money...


rofl&lt;p class=&quot;top-comments&quot;&gt;Current score: &lt;span class=&quot;top-comments-karma&quot; id=&quot;karma-12385&quot;&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Is it just me or is there a subtle irony at play here?  MR and Krrish debating whether Gold or Real Estate is where you should put your money&#8230;</p>
<p>rofl
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12385">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: cashisking</title>
		<link>http://vancouvercondo.info/2008/03/greaterfoolca-predictions-of-a-canadian-re-crash.html#comment-12392</link>
		<dc:creator>cashisking</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Mar 2008 10:07:54 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Just moved here from Toronto but grew up and went to University here.  I have been in finance since I left school.  I bought my first house in 1993 at the age of 26.  It was a good time to buy b/c my mortgage payments + the interest on my down payment (ie cost of capital) was less than rent.  Also the headlines in popular media were questioning whether you should ever again own realestate.  My father who dabbled in realestate pointed out that these were the exact headlines in popular media back in the early 80&#039;s and anyone who bought at that time had made a killing. 
The smartest guys always roll there eyes when they hear &quot;it&#039;s different this time&quot; - which is interchangeable with &quot;it&#039;s different out here&quot;.  It&#039;s not.  It never is.  Realestate prices are out of whack in the short term.  Whether this extends another year (&gt;5%) or not I can&#039;t tell you.  It will end and it will be ugly.  I suggest people pick up a Financial Times (funny pink paper), WSJ, NYT, or for the really bullish Barrons to find out what is going on in the real world and how it may impact &quot;the most beautiful place on earth&quot;.  Easy money (credit) is drying up and the de leveraging of North American balance sheets has begun.  This will probably take a couple of years and have some nasty surprises along the way.  Fortunately were six months in.   
Prediction is for 25% decline over next two years. &lt;p class=&quot;top-comments&quot;&gt;Current score: &lt;span class=&quot;top-comments-karma&quot; id=&quot;karma-12392&quot;&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just moved here from Toronto but grew up and went to University here.  I have been in finance since I left school.  I bought my first house in 1993 at the age of 26.  It was a good time to buy b/c my mortgage payments + the interest on my down payment (ie cost of capital) was less than rent.  Also the headlines in popular media were questioning whether you should ever again own realestate.  My father who dabbled in realestate pointed out that these were the exact headlines in popular media back in the early 80&#039;s and anyone who bought at that time had made a killing.</p>
<p>The smartest guys always roll there eyes when they hear &quot;it&#039;s different this time&quot; &#8211; which is interchangeable with &quot;it&#039;s different out here&quot;.  It&#039;s not.  It never is.  Realestate prices are out of whack in the short term.  Whether this extends another year (&gt;5%) or not I can&#039;t tell you.  It will end and it will be ugly.  I suggest people pick up a Financial Times (funny pink paper), WSJ, NYT, or for the really bullish Barrons to find out what is going on in the real world and how it may impact &quot;the most beautiful place on earth&quot;.  Easy money (credit) is drying up and the de leveraging of North American balance sheets has begun.  This will probably take a couple of years and have some nasty surprises along the way.  Fortunately were six months in.  </p>
<p>Prediction is for 25% decline over next two years.
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12392">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: scullboy</title>
		<link>http://vancouvercondo.info/2008/03/greaterfoolca-predictions-of-a-canadian-re-crash.html#comment-12389</link>
		<dc:creator>scullboy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Mar 2008 09:34:29 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Drachen: 
 
Did you see the Doctor Who episode where the Daleks met the Cybermen for the first time? &lt;p class=&quot;top-comments&quot;&gt;Current score: &lt;span class=&quot;top-comments-karma&quot; id=&quot;karma-12389&quot;&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Drachen:</p>
<p>Did you see the Doctor Who episode where the Daleks met the Cybermen for the first time?
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12389">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Garth Turner&#8217;s New Book and Blog at Investing Intelligently</title>
		<link>http://vancouvercondo.info/2008/03/greaterfoolca-predictions-of-a-canadian-re-crash.html#comment-12360</link>
		<dc:creator>Garth Turner&#8217;s New Book and Blog at Investing Intelligently</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 14 Mar 2008 09:29:13 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>[...] a new book out called &#8220;Greater Fool&#8221; as reported by Vancouver Condo Info (see &#8220;Us housing market problems to show up in Canada?). It&#8217;s all about the coming crash in housing prices in Canada. He&#8217;s also started a blog [...]&lt;p class=&quot;top-comments&quot;&gt;Current score: &lt;span class=&quot;top-comments-karma&quot; id=&quot;karma-12360&quot;&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] a new book out called &#8220;Greater Fool&#8221; as reported by Vancouver Condo Info (see &#8220;Us housing market problems to show up in Canada?). It&#8217;s all about the coming crash in housing prices in Canada. He&#8217;s also started a blog [...]
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12360">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: krrish2</title>
		<link>http://vancouvercondo.info/2008/03/greaterfoolca-predictions-of-a-canadian-re-crash.html#comment-12339</link>
		<dc:creator>krrish2</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Mar 2008 19:52:08 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Sure Micheal, your graphs are above the shoulders but feets I mean base is over sand. do you live in richmond?good luck micheal. &lt;p class=&quot;top-comments&quot;&gt;Current score: &lt;span class=&quot;top-comments-karma&quot; id=&quot;karma-12339&quot;&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sure Micheal, your graphs are above the shoulders but feets I mean base is over sand. do you live in richmond?good luck micheal.
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12339">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Michael Randallbard</title>
		<link>http://vancouvercondo.info/2008/03/greaterfoolca-predictions-of-a-canadian-re-crash.html#comment-12338</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Randallbard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Mar 2008 19:36:33 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.321gold.com/editorials/willie/willie031308.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Krissst..I doubt you will be able to understand this but here goes anyway&lt;/a&gt; &lt;p class=&quot;top-comments&quot;&gt;Current score: &lt;span class=&quot;top-comments-karma&quot; id=&quot;karma-12338&quot;&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.321gold.com/editorials/willie/willie031308.html" rel="nofollow">Krissst..I doubt you will be able to understand this but here goes anyway</a>
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12338">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: krrish2</title>
		<link>http://vancouvercondo.info/2008/03/greaterfoolca-predictions-of-a-canadian-re-crash.html#comment-12336</link>
		<dc:creator>krrish2</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Mar 2008 19:12:19 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Micheal Randallbards, 
 
Please do not try to stand on silly point just one cover drive and your helmet will blow up in the air and your teeth&#039;s Ohh and please don&#039;t try to bat infront of me otherwise this left handed fast pace bowler will deliver a bouncer on over pitch that will blo your bat,pad,and ofcourse your helmet again and please don&#039;t try to be on bowlers side otherwise this left handed batsman going to shoot the ball in the air over boundry line that would be definitiley sixer on extra cover boundry.Anyway..... 
SMART US &amp; EUROPEAN CANADIAN ASIAN INVESTORS BUYING IN VANCOUVER - STILL CHEAP! 
 
Micheal Rendalbards why don&#039;t you take a shower today every body knows that you are residing over sand. Micheal be careful don&#039;t let the gold slip away while you tumble over sand.Oh ho ho ho-Watch Out!!!!! &lt;p class=&quot;top-comments&quot;&gt;Current score: &lt;span class=&quot;top-comments-karma&quot; id=&quot;karma-12336&quot;&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Micheal Randallbards,</p>
<p>Please do not try to stand on silly point just one cover drive and your helmet will blow up in the air and your teeth&#039;s Ohh and please don&#039;t try to bat infront of me otherwise this left handed fast pace bowler will deliver a bouncer on over pitch that will blo your bat,pad,and ofcourse your helmet again and please don&#039;t try to be on bowlers side otherwise this left handed batsman going to shoot the ball in the air over boundry line that would be definitiley sixer on extra cover boundry.Anyway&#8230;..</p>
<p>SMART US &amp; EUROPEAN CANADIAN ASIAN INVESTORS BUYING IN VANCOUVER &#8211; STILL CHEAP!</p>
<p>Micheal Rendalbards why don&#039;t you take a shower today every body knows that you are residing over sand. Micheal be careful don&#039;t let the gold slip away while you tumble over sand.Oh ho ho ho-Watch Out!!!!!
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12336">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Michael Randallbard</title>
		<link>http://vancouvercondo.info/2008/03/greaterfoolca-predictions-of-a-canadian-re-crash.html#comment-12333</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Randallbard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Mar 2008 17:56:20 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>GOLD HIT $1,000.00 USD TODAY 
 
Here&#039;s the kicker....if the BoC cuts rates and the CAD drops against the USD but still drops against the Euro what will that do to Gold priced in CAD? &lt;p class=&quot;top-comments&quot;&gt;Current score: &lt;span class=&quot;top-comments-karma&quot; id=&quot;karma-12333&quot;&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>GOLD HIT $1,000.00 USD TODAY</p>
<p>Here&#039;s the kicker&#8230;.if the BoC cuts rates and the CAD drops against the USD but still drops against the Euro what will that do to Gold priced in CAD?
<p class="top-comments">Current score: <span class="top-comments-karma" id="karma-12333">0</span> <small>(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)</small></p>
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		<title>By: Michael Randallbard</title>
		<link>http://vancouvercondo.info/2008/03/greaterfoolca-predictions-of-a-canadian-re-crash.html#comment-12326</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Randallbard</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Mar 2008 17:23:21 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>Irish banks may need life-support as property prices crash 
Last Updated: 12:48am GMT 11/03/2008 
 
The Dublin government appears to be almost powerless to prevent a severe downturn. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard reports 
 
The Irish banking system faces acute strains and may require a phase of temporary nationalization as the property slump leads to a wave of defaults, according to a leading Irish economist. 
 
Morgan Kelly, of University College Dublin, said the government is almost powerless to stop the downturn becoming a severe slump. &quot;We&#039;re in a classic post-bubble recession, yet we can&#039;t do anything that a country would normally do in this situation because we&#039;re inside the eurozone,&quot; Prof Kelly said. &quot;We can&#039;t cut interest rates, we can&#039;t devalue, and there is a lot less room for fiscal stimulus than people think. We&#039;re stuck. 
 
&quot;We have a domestic recession now colliding with a global recession. It is the state of the banking system that will determine how terrible this will be, and frankly that is looking very shaky.&quot; &lt;p class=&quot;top-comments&quot;&gt;Current score: &lt;span class=&quot;top-comments-karma&quot; id=&quot;karma-12326&quot;&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Irish banks may need life-support as property prices crash</p>
<p>Last Updated: 12:48am GMT 11/03/2008</p>
<p>The Dublin government appears to be almost powerless to prevent a severe downturn. Ambrose Evans-Pritchard reports</p>
<p>The Irish banking system faces acute strains and may require a phase of temporary nationalization as the property slump leads to a wave of defaults, according to a leading Irish economist.</p>
<p>Morgan Kelly, of University College Dublin, said the government is almost powerless to stop the downturn becoming a severe slump. &quot;We&#039;re in a classic post-bubble recession, yet we can&#039;t do anything that a country would normally do in this situation because we&#039;re inside the eurozone,&quot; Prof Kelly said. &quot;We can&#039;t cut interest rates, we can&#039;t devalue, and there is a lot less room for fiscal stimulus than people think. We&#039;re stuck.</p>
<p>&quot;We have a domestic recession now colliding with a global recession. It is the state of the banking system that will determine how terrible this will be, and frankly that is looking very shaky.&quot;
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		<title>By: blueskies</title>
		<link>http://vancouvercondo.info/2008/03/greaterfoolca-predictions-of-a-canadian-re-crash.html#comment-12323</link>
		<dc:creator>blueskies</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Mar 2008 15:18:25 +0000</pubDate>
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		<description>when Vancouver sneezes a lot of people will be covered in wet phelmgy sticky boogers.....  now that&#039;s funny!  :-) 
 
 
just had the distinct pleasure of jaywalking across Hornby Street at the same time Bob Rennie was.... of course he was going in the opposite direction....as usual &lt;p class=&quot;top-comments&quot;&gt;Current score: &lt;span class=&quot;top-comments-karma&quot; id=&quot;karma-12323&quot;&gt;0&lt;/span&gt; &lt;small&gt;(to vote for this comment, please visit the site)&lt;/small&gt;&lt;/p&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>when Vancouver sneezes a lot of people will be covered in wet phelmgy sticky boogers&#8230;..  now that&#039;s funny!  <img src='http://vancouvercondo.info/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>just had the distinct pleasure of jaywalking across Hornby Street at the same time Bob Rennie was&#8230;. of course he was going in the opposite direction&#8230;.as usual
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