Friday Free for All!
Those of you that are regular visitors know what this means. The ‘free for all’ post is a general news round-up and open topic discussion we do every weekend. Here are a few stories I’ve noticed this week:
-zero down mortgages ‘have been quite popular‘
-price drops on the outskirts and upper end
-cracks in housing market spur new rules?
-new rules won’t deflate market
-buy now, save later
-house sales slow across North Shore
-lower mainland house prices start to sag
-building still booms in Vancouver
-REBGV listings continue rapid growth
-leaky condo crisis far from over
-Bank of Canada urged to raise interest rates
-new Canadian bankruptcy laws
-six months, 343,000 lost homes
-Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, too big to fail?
-Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac shares plummet
So what are you seeing out there? Post your thoughts, news links and anecdotes here and have an excellent weekend!
note: any conversation on real estate or economics is allowed, please keep it civilized. When posting articles please only quote pertinent points and link to the original instead of pasting the entire article here. Pasting a link will automatically create a clickable hot-link. Thanks!
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July 10th, 2008 at 11:25 pm
This is already the case in the US (IRA’s, etc).
But what’s happening? There has been a big surge in early withdrawls from IRA’s by homeowners trying to “save” their house or make payments on credit cards, etc.
Dumb-de-dumb-dumb
July 11th, 2008 at 1:04 am
“A recent Statistics Canada report concluded that home ownership is at record levels, with over two-thirds of Canadians owning their own home”.
Alright bears you can decide if you like to buy any unit or not it’s not our problem because we don’t need any independent (bear)mla’s or mp’s, owners government is a stable government that works 24/7/365 decades after decades.
Sweet!
July 11th, 2008 at 1:05 am
Combine this with skyrocketing inventory…
TGIR. (ThankGodIRent) Looking forward to buying in 2011!
July 11th, 2008 at 1:07 am
July 11th, 2008 at 1:15 am
July 11th, 2008 at 5:40 am
Hey that sounds familiar… where did I hear something similar… oh yeah…
In the US two years ago!
July 11th, 2008 at 6:56 am
Victoria will be negative YOY in a month and Vancouver before Halloween.
TSIHTF folks.
http://www.reportonbusiness.com/servlet … iness/home
July 11th, 2008 at 7:52 am
All these people who were never meant to be “wealthy” to begin with are now going to give away everything that they “have” to the rightful owners of all the money in this world, plus interest.
That’s all.
Good Bye fake middle class.
We’re going to be waaay old school again - the LandLords and the Paupers. Nothing in between.
July 11th, 2008 at 7:54 am
“There is a big bubble here and it will burst” Bob Rennie
July 11th, 2008 at 7:54 am
July 11th, 2008 at 7:59 am
The charter of rights and freedoms cleverly forgets to include anything about personal property.
Even if you “own” your home outright (paid off and all) they can take it away from you as soon as they find oil under your lawn or a new Skytrain line has to go through it. We are a nation of Serfs. Get used to it.
July 11th, 2008 at 8:25 am
July 11th, 2008 at 8:58 am
Excelent analysis. I totally agree with the ‘wealth redistribution’ angle. The ’smart money’ was out of the market a year ago. They went on to find the next bubble.
In Canada it is going to be even worse, since the bank will keep coming after the poor bastards for years after they lose their small cardboard box.
It is a lifetime financial ruin for anyone who bought with little down in the past three-four years. There is no way out. No jingle-keys. Just a lifetime (40 years) of servitude to the lords, without anything to show for it. Feudal times indeed.
As I have mentioned to Wow before, the house we will build in 2016 will be made out of concrete, and bricks. Nobody read the three little piglets here?
Best regards,
arit
July 11th, 2008 at 9:34 am
July 11th, 2008 at 9:44 am
while you are at it. Why don’t you say the people in Bc are sexy than Toronto. that is why BC will be immune to the Bust.
” and stop looking at my ass”
July 11th, 2008 at 9:46 am
sorry
July 11th, 2008 at 10:38 am
July 11th, 2008 at 10:39 am
Current Canadian house prices are in line with economic factors such as low interest rates, rising incomes and a growing population, a view supported by the International Monetary Fund.
Mortgage term being chosed for convenient is not equal to servitude other wise no person is willing to chose occupation in any company- the way we chose our occupation same way we chose mortgage term.
“”"Hey that sounds familiar… where did I hear something similar… oh yeah…In the US two years ago!”"”-#6
Later those American discovered that Vancouver British Columbia is “the best place on earth”Till 2006 around 160,000 American moved to Vancouver and some other part of Canada to enjoy the title of Canadian home ownership more of them are up and coming.
July 11th, 2008 at 11:44 am
July 11th, 2008 at 12:26 pm
Another friend who was so confident in the market a year ago she bought a second condo is panicking over whether she can sell it in time (it needed rain shielding and is waiting on a couple more fixes before it can be certified). She’s hoping to have it on the market by mid July.
Both of those represent a 180 turn in psychology from a year ago, if this is normal we’re about to see that “rush for the exits”.
I suspect (though I have nothing hard to back this up) that immigrants who are insulated by their communities will be the last to catch on.
July 11th, 2008 at 12:34 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 12:35 pm
In regards to your post #7, that StatsCan article is only talking about new home prices. The median price in Victoria is still up about 8% from last July. However, that’s down from 11% a couple months ago and the trend is (obviously) downward…. I’d say end of September, middle of October maybe, for flat YOY in Victoria.
July 11th, 2008 at 1:17 pm
If the “PRICE IS RIGHT” what are you buying?
If you aren’t buying do you know anyone else who’s foolish enough to buy something that will go down for decades to come?
If yes what are they buying? The realtors I’ve been talking to can’t find buyers, could I send some of them to your warehouse? I’m sure these buyers earn $150k and have $40,000 down and no debt? Right? If this works out you’ll even get a referral commission! If you refer enough you can buy even more real estate! or use it to go to the CAFE!
July 11th, 2008 at 1:19 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 1:19 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 1:24 pm
we are scared Let’s see who should people trust?
July 11th, 2008 at 1:24 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 1:29 pm
My relative, a professional construction engineer from Poland with 40+ years of experience, was here visiting my family for the first time (his first time in North America). Once he saw few construction sites (SFH, lowrise and highrise ones) he wholeheartedly LOL about house quality and the building code. He could not imagine that people throwing away massive amounts of money to get a house that has warranty for max 10 years.
He and his family are living in an apartment building that was built about 140 years ago. For the whole lifecycle, the roof has been replaced once about 20 years ago, and there was no structural repairs. Sewer is still original and will be replaced in 10 years. Water pipes were re-done about 30 years ago. The 4-storey building still has the original stucco that have been painted every 6-7 years and the original wiring. Inside the apartment, all doors and hardwood (oak) and stucco are in the same shape as 140 years ago.
Anybody can say something similar about their dwelling in Van?
July 11th, 2008 at 1:41 pm
I’m going to have to say “Someone who isn’t trying to sell me real estate.” Robert Shiller, for example.
July 11th, 2008 at 2:10 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 2:16 pm
I have the same with European friends. The main problem most of them have (and I’m sure your brother too) is that anything under 4-5 stories is built in wood here. Try telling the people in Sichuan Provence that stone is better than wood for building in an earthquake zone… Some parts of the building code are different for a reason.
Not that I’m saying there’s no shoddy work going on, it’s just that people from Europe don’t have the same needs that people living in Vancouver have and they have a tendency towards close mindedness when it comes to these things.
July 11th, 2008 at 2:39 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 3:05 pm
Thank you for comments on my post. One small note about earthquake zone. AFAIK, in whole Canada and US buildings under 4-5 stories are mostly built of wood. Does it mean that the East Coast and central parts of both countries are in the earthequake zone?
July 11th, 2008 at 3:13 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 3:32 pm
http://looniesandsense.blogspot.com/200 … again.html
July 11th, 2008 at 3:35 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 3:41 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 4:11 pm
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>DON’T MISS THIS OPPORTUNITY>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
I think the elimination of the 40yr with zero down mortgage will actually put upward pressure on prices in thriving economic marvels like Kelowna, Victoria and Vancouver.
Now our highly skilled RE experts can concentrate at providing excellent investment opportunities in BC world class cities to better financially secured upscale investors, without wasting time with prospects that may otherwise not meet the standards required to participate in acquiring real estate in the best place on earth.
My advice would be to enlist the help of a professional who is a member in good standing with your local real estate board.
Just practicing my spinning….what do you think Rob?
July 11th, 2008 at 4:14 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 4:30 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 4:31 pm
http://www.reportonbusiness.com/servlet … iness/home
July 11th, 2008 at 4:35 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 4:38 pm
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25644988/
The bank is the largest regulated thrift to fail and the second largest financial institution to close in U.S. history, regulators said.
“This institution failed today due to a liquidity crisis,” OTS Director John Reich said.
IndyMac had $32.01 billion in assets as of March 31.
July 11th, 2008 at 5:23 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 6:29 pm
http://www.mainstreet.com/housing-bubbl … n=MSGoogle
“People took a very big hit,” he says. “The problem is, coming off both bubbles, people were not saving. They had changed their behavior because they had thought all this money would be there, and then it wasn’t.”
Just like Vancouver, Kelowna and Victoria kool aide drinkers.
July 11th, 2008 at 7:12 pm
July 11th, 2008 at 7:24 pm
hey, your loss if you don’t see these
Party Time
http://siliconinvestor.advfn.com/readms … d=24750252
http://siliconinvestor.advfn.com/readms … d=24750249
http://siliconinvestor.advfn.com/readms … d=24750243
http://siliconinvestor.advfn.com/readms … d=24750225
http://siliconinvestor.advfn.com/readms … d=24750223
July 11th, 2008 at 7:33 pm
I strongly agree with you about “planned obsolescence”. While I accept wood as main building material, the quality of other materials and construction process rouses censure.
Nothing prevents builders from using galvanized copper for roofing instead of ashfalt shingles. There is no need to chop wood before making door frames and baseboards. It would not hurt to erect solid walls between rooms (sound insulation). No producer gives more than 10 years warranty for stucco - what a joke. The list can be extended…
My father once told me that it required skills to hammer in a nail into a wall in his old Polish building. If you happen to get into cement between the bricks - forget about it. The cement used to be poured with natural egg yolks. I guess for that reason the dishwasher manufacturers do not guarantee eggs removal from dishes.
If you compare Van to a city of similar size in Europe, there is substantially less related to construction and repairs businesses. This is for a reason. The quality of construction does not require that many as we have here. Construction for the sake of repairs. Repairs for the sake of construction. What a waste of resources and money.
July 11th, 2008 at 8:06 pm
yeah nutsters, don’t worry browntown is back! good time to buy now before halocopter ben in states gets uplifted! gold to the moon nutbars! look for money drop out of corner office window bdk!
OR is it trolling?
forum/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=48
July 11th, 2008 at 9:31 pm