Friday Free-for-all!

The end of the work-week has arrived and that means it’s time to do our weekend news roundup and open topic economic discussion.  Here are a few articles and comments I’ve noticed lately:

-Vancouver: The California of the North?
-Re/Max: Housing market to remain strong in 2010
-Buy! Sell! Hold! Huh?
-Canadian Real Estate goes wacky
-Greater Vancouver real estate prices end year on high note
-Young and jobless: The recessions toll
-Canada savings bonds ‘a bit of a joke’
-Time to pay for the stimulus, here come the cuts
-Bernanke defends his record
-Orlando condo market falls 56% in one year
-Las Vegas home prices fall 34% on foreclosures
-Wealthy investors like US real estate
-Zandi: US housing market meltdown not over yet

Thanks to everyone that contributed story links.  So what are you seeing out there? Post your news links, thoughts and anecdotes here and have an excellent weekend!

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105 Responses to “Friday Free-for-all!”

  1. 1
  2. Limey Says:

    The Californian posting is very interesting. It is amazing that there’s line-ups outside new development sales offices. My word there’s going to be a mess. But who’s going to clean it up?

    Current score: 11
    Reply to this comment
  3. 2
  4. Limey Says:

    Hold on, I stand corrected. According to RE/MAX the housing market is going to stay strong.

    Now I don’t want to start picking on the Canadian mainstream media, or the state of BC journalism in general. But in other parts of the world, if you wrote and article about RE, and where it’s going in the next year, and only used once source, and that source had a suspiciously high level of investment in the RE industry. It would be regarded as some sort of joke.

    What’s next? “Cigarettes found to extend lifetime: Marlboro”, I mean for christ’s sake – it’s pathetic. Where’s the objective discussions questioning the status quo? Am I being naive? I thought this is what newspapers are supposed to do – not re-write advertisements for large corporations.

    Along the RCMP ban of protesting, I’m wondering where the impetus or the right has gone to speak one’s own opinion. If you’re looking for a reason why so many people are about to run off a cliff with Real estate, I’d say this might be a good place to start.

    (Sorry if this sounds a bit anti-Canadian – I’m married to a Canadian, and generally I think you’re all swell.)

    Current score: 71
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  5. 3
  6. realpaul Says:

    Even though the Canadian Government attempts to keep its head up its ass it may be forced by outside forces to come up for air at some point.

    World rates are going up as liquidity scares central governments into looking at losing primacy to gold and commodities.

    http://in.reuters.com/article/.....dChannel=0

    The Canadian government can keep on accumulating debt as long as it is OK with the Canadian people who don’t seem to mind the fact the massive tax increases and service cuts will occur as long as the gov keeps intrest rates articially low in order to pump the RE market and hold the loon lower than the plumetting USD. Its a scary scenario.

    http://www.kitco.com/ind/nadler/dec032009.html

    The lower the gov drives the loon means exporting inflation to our manufacturing centers in China (since we no longer manufacture anything in canada) where costs are going up like crazy due to thier own massive flood of money into the economy to quell rising unemployment in the cities.

    Wages are now shooting up in China ( because thier internal currency is flooding the system with cheapening paper)and that means higher prices at Wallmart here.Our wages here are going down while nflation is raging in non CPI hedonic measured consumables.Soon the BOC won’t be able to hide behind counting only cheap Chinese made T-shirts and plastic spoons. Real costs are going way up in China and that means here to.

    So, what does that mean? Can the CDN gove continue to flood the system with phony money for real estate at zero intrest rates while keeping the lie about low inflation going? Not likely.

    I see rampant inflation coming down the pipe from all sides. This can only lead to two things

    1) the BOC can continue to pile up debt and ratchet up local taxes until everyone is cleaned out.

    2) they will go bankrupt and the IMF will force international rates into the local market in order for Canada to meet its debt payment obligations.

    Can that mean a sudden rate rise of several hundred percent possible overnight? I think so.

    Current score: 11
    Reply to this comment
  7. 4
  8. patriotz Says:

    If consumer price inflation is seen to be heading above the official BoC target of 2%, you will see a bust in the bond markets, i.e. a sudden jump in interest rates. It would be inevitable, which is why I think it will not happen – BoC will crank up its own rates to keep CPI under control first.

    I do not buy the money printing (i.e. inducing inflation) scenario for this reason – a bond market bust would be devastating for the Canadian economy at the current levels of indebtedness.

    @San Franciscan in Vancouver:

    I guess the Canadian dollar appears to be the only viable proxy for a possible future hedge betting on housing prices decline in Canada.

    A house price bust in Canada would be positive for the CAD, because it would result in a large decrease in consumer demand, much of which is imports, while demand for Canada’s exports would be unaffected.

    Current score: 5
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  9. 5
  10. realpaul Says:

    #4 P, the inevitable bump in rates is exactly why the foriegn bond holders are absent and the Canadian gov is buying all its own paper. The inverse relationship has got the CDN gov bent over a rock and a hard place as rates can only go one way at this point.

    Its all a sham leaving the taxpayer on the hook. At this point I think the CDN gove is prepared to fleece every bond holder with some form of draconian trade off. Perhaps it will be as Garth has suggested and the internal claw backs will become ripbacks.

    Flaherty said recently ‘we have other tools’, what could he possibly have aside from ‘extremis legislation’ at this point? Currency controls? Tell me it ain’t so Jimmy.

    They sure as hell can’t lower rates or implement any more QE than they already are without blowing a big hole in the bottom of our already leaky ship.

    If this doesn’t cause a revolution then what else? A surprise bump in rates would annihalate the dollar shorts in Ottawa.

    This is a lose lose situation for everybody, courtesy of the Cons. Either there are higher rates or taxes go through the roof or the national debt becomes unsustainable. I believe we are currently at 79% of GDP now. Canada is not the US with endless pools of foriegn capital to tap as a reserve currency. I figure we hit the low 89′s and the emperor gets naked.

    Current score: 10
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  11. 6
  12. joycer Says:

    Let the rate hikes begin!
    -Last GDP numbers showed we have returned to growth (left recession)
    -Carney has already warned consumers of higher interest rates to come and being prudent with these emergency measures
    -This morning’s unemployment better than extected 59,000 gain in jobs and rate declined to 8.5%

    http://ca.news.finance.yahoo.c.....-cent.html

    Current score: 7
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  13. 7
  14. joycer Says:

    Sorry, should have been added 79,000 not 59,000 (39,000 full time and 40,000 part time).
    That’s HUGE for our economy, can you imagine if the US would have announced an increase of 790,000 jobs this month?

    Current score: 0
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  15. 8
  16. crabman Says:

    @patriotz:

    A house price bust in Canada would be positive for the CAD, because it would result in a large decrease in consumer demand, much of which is imports, while demand for Canada’s exports would be unaffected.

    That might have be true in the past. Now, we have investors and hedge funds playing the carry trade. If, in two years, the US economy is recovered and Canada is in the midst of a housing bust, US interest rates should be higher than ours. If these carry trade investors play the USD/CAD, they will drive down the CAD. Also, since the Canadian economy will need all the help it can get from exports, you can bet the gov. will do what they can keep the CAD low.

    Current score: 7
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  17. 9
  18. Dave Says:

    @joycer:

    That’s a strong job report. The US report was strong as well, with only 11,000 job losses, which is the best month since the recession started.

    Current score: 1
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  19. 10
  20. vreaa Says:

    “Your choice is to hustle, or to be stepped on by hustlers.”
    (On the misallocation of resources in a bubble.)
    http://tinyurl.com/yf76uat

    The most destructive social consequence of a large bubble is the misallocation of capital. Resources (money, effort, time) get redirected away from goals that would truly build a society and into high risk speculation, into chasing the fast buck. Honest and prudent citizens make 0.4% on their Canada Savings Bonds. Condo flippers make more in year than the average Canadian could save in a lifetime. Grow-operators make tens of thousands per month, tax free, with no risk of imprisonment. Five years of this and a lawless, frontier quality creeps in to the prevailing ethos. Your choice is to hustle, or to be stepped on by hustlers. Blog discussions show that ‘legal tax evasion’ has become a priority for many regular citizens. It is also clear that the players in the housing boom have quite simply broken the law by not paying taxes. Undeclared income from tenants. Under the table cash payments for construction work. Flippers avoiding taxation by calling each flip a primary residence for someone in the family. When this lawlessness is rampant, honest citizens feel like schmucks for being honest. One hopes that the CRA has their best folks on this. The public coffers certainly could do with the revenue. More important, the society needs to be confident that honest and well directed efforts are those that are most valued and rewarded. -vreaa

    Current score: 39
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  21. 11
  22. observer Says:

    Good omens for higher mortgage rates in the short term.

    Current score: 1
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  23. 12
  24. realpaul Says:

    I would wait for the ‘revisions’ before putting too much faith in the initial jobs numbers reports from the government(s). This recovery (so called) has been nothing moe than a PR battle so far. Todays numbers are to extreme to be credible IMHO and will be revised down after the Christmas shopping season is over. The good news is possibly a smoke and mirrors campaign to boost consumer confidence.

    Current score: 14
    Reply to this comment
  25. 13
  26. realpaul Says:

    Anyone think that the employment bonanza has anything to do with the Fed Head being under pressure to extend his term? Nothing like a sudden burst of good news to get a loser re-elected. Hmmmmmmmmmm.

    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/bb20.....ck_check=1

    Current score: 3
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  27. 14
  28. Carioca Canuck Says:

    Last night we were watching GLOBAL/Canwest Channel 2/7 news, which is sponsored be REMAX.

    Their latest fluff piece that is linked here was front and centre masquerading as a “news” article. ROFL !!! The wife looks at me and says “this is bullshit”…….pretty interesting comment coming from someone who just moved here 6 years ago from a foreign country, and has only started closely watching the mess that is our RE market, over the last 24 months.

    Current score: 18
    Reply to this comment
  29. 15
  30. patriotz Says:

    @crabman:

    If, in two years, the US economy is recovered and Canada is in the midst of a housing bust, US interest rates should be higher than ours. If these carry trade investors play the USD/CAD, they will drive down the CAD.

    A falling CAD would lead to a bond market bust which would end the carry trade. Nobody would want to lend in a falling CAD at low rates. That’s the reason weak currencies have high interest rates.

    It is not possible for two closely linked economies like to US and Canada, with similar inflation rates, to have diverging interest rates.

    Current score: 5
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  31. 16
  32. patriotz Says:

    Forgot to add, I think your basic premise is flawed, Canada is far far more export oriented than the US and demand from the US (which buys 80% of Canada’s exports) and China, among others, would outweigh the drop in consumer demand (which to a large extent is for imports anyway) from a housing bust.

    Now I do think BC, which is the only mega-bubble province in the country, is going to go up in smoke and flames because the real economy has taken a back seat to RE. But not so in the rest of the country. The only other province-wide bubbles are in Alberta and Saskatchewan and not only did they have a smaller bubble which has already partly deflated, they have strong export economies. Alberta also has a high savings rate.

    Current score: 6
    Reply to this comment
  33. 17
  34. logic Says:

    X Dave Says:
    December 4th, 2009 at 9:20 am

    @joycer:

    That’s a strong job report. The US report was strong as well, with only 11,000 job losses, which is the best month since the recession started.
    ——————-

    Dave, one can hardly call the US report “strong”.

    Perhaps “less weak”.

    Current score: 2
    Reply to this comment
  35. 18
  36. davers Says:

    The Tyee article is pretty good and they get +10 points for working the show “Weeds” into an article about real estate.

    The Vegas article has an interesting footnote too:

    The research company is a unit of Richmond, British Columbia-based MacDonald, Dettwiler & Associates Ltd. It compiles surveys using county records and supplies real estate information to customers including public agencies, lenders and title companies.

    Is a BC based company really qualified to talk about real estate?

    Current score: 1
    Reply to this comment
  37. 19
  38. buff_butler Says:

    @logic:

    I think what dave means is that it beat street consensus which can be considered strong. What is strange is the divergence from the ADP report; so this could be noise.

    Current score: 2
    Reply to this comment
  39. 20
  40. Drachen Says:

    @logic:

    It’s not even really “less weak” if you look at how they calculate “job losses”.

    They figure out how many people are “out of work” by looking at the number of people who lost their jobs in the last 6 months minus those who were re-hired.

    If that number increases by 11,000, they say they “lost” an additional 11,000 jobs ignoring the fact that people who moved from 6 months out of work to 7 months out of work are dropped from the list. So in reality the number is much higher considering how many people lost jobs 6 months ago.

    Current score: 3
    Reply to this comment
  41. 21
  42. crabman Says:

    @patriotz: You are making far too much sense! ;^)

    To me, it looks like the CAD/USD exchange rate is being driven almost totally be investors and not fundamentals. If you look at a graph of the S&P 500 vs the CAD over the last few years, they look virtually identical.

    Current score: 5
    Reply to this comment
  43. 22
  44. Bubble Lad Says:

    I think if you changed “Dubai” to “Vancouver”, in the headline of this Tyee article, you’d have a pretty good description of Vancouver – it would certainly be more fitting that “The Best Place on Earth”

    “DUBAI, A BROKE AND MORALLY BANKRUPT MIRAGE.”
    http://thetyee.ca/News/2009/12.....struction/

    Current score: 6
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  45. 23
  46. Bubble Lad Says:

    2 – Limey – how about if that one “source” was a FRIGGING PRESS RELEASE!!!
    http://smr.newswire.ca/en/rema.....te-in-2010

    break into groups, compare and contrast…actually just compare…

    Current score: 0
    Reply to this comment
  47. 24
  48. patriotz Says:

    @crabman:

    To me, it looks like the CAD/USD exchange rate is being driven almost totally be investors and not fundamentals. If you look at a graph of the S&P 500 vs the CAD over the last few years, they look virtually identical

    Yes but is that causality? I think the real causal relationship is this one:

    http://www.forexpm.com/oil-usd.....ation.html

    And the price of oil is of course the most important fundamental in Canada – US trade.

    Current score: 2
    Reply to this comment
  49. 25
  50. observer Says:

    Not to throw cold water on the good news about jobs and sooner than expected rise in bond yields, but does anyone with more statistics knowledge know if the numbers were affected by the fact that this time last year there was a significant drop in employment, i.e. the seasonality adjustments for this report were biased upwards by last year’s drop.

    Current score: 2
    Reply to this comment
  51. 26
  52. kansai_92 Says:

    Unemployment numbers can be quite deceiving based on how they do their counting.

    To me, payroll numbers make more sense.
    How many people are being paid salaries and/or wages?
    How much are earnings per week?

    This will truly tell you whether people are employed or not and whether wages or hours are being cut.
    These have a direct impact on tax revenues and consumer spending.

    Current score: 6
    Reply to this comment
  53. 27
  54. observer Says:

    Apparently the number of hours worked went down so this is a bummer.

    Current score: 2
    Reply to this comment
  55. 28
  56. /dev/null Says:

    @joycer: Any idea if the FT/PT positions are temporary or permanent? I didn’t see that in the report. Most of the gain was in the service sector, and isn’t there a lot of retailers hiring at this time of year for the (ugh) holiday shopping season?

    Current score: 2
    Reply to this comment
  57. 29
  58. Vansanity Says:

    In regard to the employment figures released today, which were really positive, an expert analyst on ROB TV this morning said 40,000 of the 79,000 jobs created were in education. He said that they’re all scratching their heads at it thinking: “where did the sudden need for 40,000 teachers come from?” Indeed.

    Anyway, sounds a bit suspicious, but I’m a conspiracy theorist by nature.

    Current score: 5
    Reply to this comment
  59. 30
  60. DEFAULT NAME Says:

    How to beat the real estate market:

    http://www.globefund.com/servl.....GFWIStory/

    Current score: -2
    Reply to this comment
  61. 31
  62. Drachen Says:

    @Vansanity:

    They were talking about that on the CBC too, I suspect, given how anomalous the data is that it’s either a mistake or intentional fudging of numbers. It wouldn’t be the first time recently we’ve had a rosy report only to have it amended a few months later as the government says, “Oops, our bad!”

    Current score: 4
    Reply to this comment
  63. 32
  64. Phil Says:

    What are the chances there is a housing bust while interest rate remain low? Any thoughts? If the BOC keeps their promise and leaves rates until June, does anyone believe real estate will decrease in the meanwhile? Perhaps Olympics inspired?

    Current score: 3
    Reply to this comment
  65. 33
  66. other ted Says:

    I was watching one of those real estate porn shows. You know the ones on HGTV where the host berated people for not jumping in and paying whatever it takes to buy real estate. It was an episdoe of location location. I british show one of the worst of the bunch. Well it was funny the second home the couple was looking for was in Berlin. A featured condo, sort of a loft like apartment in a trendy area was listed for 59,000 euros. I always hear Vancouver is cheap and has a way to go to catch up to those european cities. As if wealthy europeans are arbing the difference between europe by selling high there and buying low. Well what a bunch of crap.

    Current score: 7
    Reply to this comment
  67. 34
  68. LordHuggington Says:

    @Phil: It’s perfectly viable for a housing market to tank despite low interest rates. One need only look to Japan to see that. As to prices here heading south prior to June of next year where there’ve been hints of a possible rate hike, I guess that’s something for debate. I see this as being a long, drawn out process and price declines will take a while to get going. I’m expecting a lot of people to try and cash in after the Olympics, putting their places on the market only to discover everyone else is doing that at the same time, followed by a lot of people thinking, “Oh, crap!”

    Current score: 10
    Reply to this comment
  69. 35
  70. Vansanity Says:

    @Drachen: You’re probably right. Those numbers are from November, after all. Not really a prime time to be adding that number of jobs in an industry like education. August perhaps, but November? Very strange.

    Well, the numbers look very good nonetheless, so mission accomplished.

    Current score: 3
    Reply to this comment
  71. 36
  72. Comfy_renter Says:

    Nobody talking about the ‘Canadian real estate goes wacky’ article/post(from the friday free-for-all list). Its a must read. For me it was the first full summary of whats going on. Something I could print out hand to someone who has their real estate head up their ass,asking “why haven’t you bought”. jmho.grrr

    Current score: 6
    Reply to this comment
  73. 37
  74. whatthe f**k Says:

    Climate change debate proven false flag. Its all been bullshit advertising to screw the people out of more money to send to the third world. The entire Kyoto concept is a blanket thrown over the ‘sustainable development argument’ that Brunfeld and Trudeau started to pump 30 years ago, which was to send enormous amounts of western tax money overseas.

    We’ve been duped.

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com.....le1389842/

    Current score: -20
    Reply to this comment
  75. 38
  76. betamax Says:

    “Climate change debate proven false flag. Its all been bullshit advertising to screw the people out of more money to send to the third world.”

    That’s your conclusion? WTF is appropriate, because HTF could anyone be so stupid. Even accepting the most extreme interpretations of the email in question, proof that some adherents have been less than honest is not synonymous with proof that climate change itself is false. And your fabricated ‘third world’ supposition is simply idiotic.

    Get an education; it really is worth the money.

    Current score: 7
    Reply to this comment
  77. 39
  78. Phil Says:

    #34) Thanks for replying. I agree with you on Japan. I am searching for a catalyst to the turnaround, other than an interest rate hike. I believe, as you do that the only possible catalyst is a flood of investors listing their properties after the olympics. Apparently job losses have not worked! Perhaps everyone is holding out hope that despite of their dire financial situation, selling their property post olympics will be their financial saviour.

    Current score: 2
    Reply to this comment
  79. 40
  80. logic Says:

    “We’ve been duped.”

    You are a very very stupid person. Try reading the entire story and some background.

    Current score: 1
    Reply to this comment
  81. 41
  82. what thefu*k Says:

    You PC morons and coffee bar intellects have been sucked in the hype. The climate argument is nothing but a smokescreen designed to tax the west and send the proceeds to the third world for ‘sustainable development’. The Kyoto Protocall was a tax measure not a climate measure….read it, if you can/dare.

    Climate measures have indicated extremes for millions of years. Earth has had periods of hundreds of thousands of years of drought and ice age before man discovered fire.

    Fortunatly not everyone has so much empty head space that advertisers can squash in so much nonsense. Yes, read the article objectively, it states that a majority of research has been based on assumption, prediction and ‘fudging the numbers’. The article agrees that the liars getting caught has set back the climate change argument twenty years, in other words, to the beginning of the ‘sustainable development’ scheme.

    This whole Kyoto protocol started as a side paper included in a larger document dreamed up by an ex prime minister of Norway. The carbon tax was seen as a way to fund economic development in the third world, which is why all third world countries were not required to sign up!!!!!

    The ‘new’ funding plan was called ‘sustainable development’.Which is why all the third world countries in the UN and the AID agencies who stand to profit signed on so enthusiastically. If you want an education,look that up, it’ll be worth it.

    BTW its also getting warmer on Mars.

    Current score: -5
    Reply to this comment
  83. 42
  84. what thefu*k Says:

    #40 logic

    Call this guy and tell him he and everyone else but you are wrong on the same issue. Whoops apparently the clumsy illiterate propaganda from Canada is not accepted world wide.

    http://politiken.dk/newsinengl.....851820.ece

    The PC nonsense is simply a runaway train of gullibility.

    Current score: -10
    Reply to this comment
  85. 43
  86. stagnate Says:

    phil: a lot of factors can influence the real estate market but the olympics aren’t one of those factors. no one is going to feel an urge to invest here just because they saw a bit of figure skating or skiing on tv. on the other hand the olympic rental bonanza never materialized and investors have already either listed, sold, or rented for the medium/long term. the olympic boost like the expo 86 boost is a myth. i doubt that people have bought specifically thinking the olympics would boost their investment. i could be wrong but i don’t think the olympics is bullish or bearish for local real estate. the downtown rental market will take a bit of a hit from job losses which is bearish of course.

    Current score: 6
    Reply to this comment
  87. 44
  88. logic Says:

    wtf –

    You are arguing against the vast majority of scientific evidence

    I’m not prepared toa rgue this point here with you, because it would be pointless.

    Enjoy your delusions.

    Current score: 9
    Reply to this comment
  89. 45
  90. DEFAULT NAME Says:

    Heard from a common friend that staff of a developer will get 10% salary increment next year. Some sectors are excited over China’s recent announcement of ADS (Canada being the Approved Destination for Chinese tourist), which augurs well for Metro Vancouver’s real estate. They come, they see, they buy.

    Don’t stone the messenger to death. I’ve been following VHB’s blog since 2004. We need to hear from all sides.

    Current score: 7
    Reply to this comment
  91. 46
  92. what thefu*k Says:

    #44 logic

    It’s only ‘the vast majority’ if you’re reading the insipid propaganda of the Liberal wacko’s in the Canadian ‘give it all away cause we feel guilty set’. You need to get your head out of David Suzukis ass and realise theat the ‘vast majority’ is in reality a small minority of grant takers and hangers on.

    Look there is huge money involved here. The third world leaders and the bleeding hearts who fail to understand them are pushing at this string because they want to be flooded with cash. it has nothing to do with climate change. You are supposed to be mobilized ‘to save the planet’ as an advertising gimmick to get you to give up your stuff and give it to the greedy buggers in Asia and Africa who would rather steal aid money from the west instead of working for it the way we in the west have done over the centuries.

    Don’t be fooled here. When the Danish speaker of the house stands up in a Danish podium and states the truth you should be in fact woken from your slumber not disonant of the facts that the Danes are expounding.

    He states explicitly why the climate change agenda is a carbon tax to feed the less developed countries and to meet the energy needs of the developing world. It doesn’t say anything about saving the world from greenhouse gas. Thats just a red herring designed to misle the weak minded.

    If you had read the Grundfeld Document ( precursor of the Kyoto Accord) and the Kyoto Protocal itself you would know the facts and not just parroting the words of the advertisers. The Kyoto Protocall (I repeat) is not a climate change document, it is a tax scheme to shift economies towards the third world from the west. It has been successfully advertised as a means to ‘save the planet’ but only in Canada have the coffe bar afficianados grabbed onto every word without a complete understanding.

    I’ve met Davis Suzuki, he seems like a nice guy, but that doesn’t make me want to believe everything that comes out of his ivory tower asshole. This talk of ‘ a majority’ has never been the case. I just sent you a verbatim speech from the danish Parliament ( the greenest government on the planet) and you can’t swallow the truth? Man. you can’t handle the truth.

    BTW its also warmer on Venus.

    Scary facts are facts all the same.

    Current score: -12
    Reply to this comment
  93. 47
  94. patriotz Says:

    @Phil:

    searching for a catalyst to the turnaround, other than an interest rate hike. I believe, as you do that the only possible catalyst is a flood of investors listing their properties after the olympics.

    Asset bubbles do not need any catalyst to burst. They are Ponzi schemes in which the payoff to the investor comes not from earnings but by the sale to the next owner. Because of this they require exponentially increasing inflows of capital which must eventually come to an end, regardless of any external events.

    Take a look at an example close to home – Calgary. What caused the market to turn mid-2007? Not the local economy – oil prices were at an all-time high. They just ran out of buyers.

    http://cuer.sauder.ubc.ca/cma/.....algary.pdf

    Current score: 18
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  95. 48
  96. realpaul Says:

    #47 Yo Patr, ‘ran out of buyers’ well put. I am one of those who have wondered where the inflection point would be. As we have seen the BOC manipulated the bar dow to zero and have thier backs against the wall. Its all uphill from here on.

    Tricky Trichet the Eurozone Bank boss has today announced the path to higher rates is immediate, beginning ‘in the new year’. Exactly when that will be is of course another question.

    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/.....BfRHhIWU5E

    Current score: 2
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  97. 49
  98. blueskies Says:

    wondering why a RE bear blog would attract
    a climate change denialist……

    Current score: 10
    Reply to this comment
  99. 50
  100. Dave Says:

    @stagnate:

    I think the Olympics will have an effect. Buying on this expectation would be speculative. People should buy for the long term, not a short term maybe.

    Current score: 0
    Reply to this comment
  101. 51
  102. patriotz Says:

    Housing Bubble Blog stateside has been getting them for years.

    The funny thing of course is that the same people in power who created and then denied the RE bubble – Bush and company – were also the leading climate change deniers until they were shown the door by the voters.

    But RE bubble denial is far more pervasive and persistent then climate change denial, although both phenomena are equally obvious. The reason IMHO is that you tend to deny something if it negatively affects your own financial situation. Very few of us are oil company executives or have ties to them, but most of us own a house.

    Current score: 14
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  103. 52
  104. mino3 Says:

    It’s quite sneaky to label someone a “climate change denier” as it implies climate change is a proven fact, when it’s just been revealed that the “facts” at the core of the issue have been manipulated for years. It’s also a way to make someone sound loony in the same way you’d call someone a holocaust denier.

    I think I’ll call you a climate change denier denier, how’s that?

    Current score: -6
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  105. 53
  106. ReadyToPop Says:

    @Patriotzed
    Who is really in denial here? After the recent
    “climategate” scandal, a recycle bin full of
    scepticism is entirely warranted. Who lives
    in the bloated mansion …Bush or Gore?

    Current score: 1
    Reply to this comment
  107. 54
  108. No Longer Looking Says:

    @Anonymous: From I’ve heard, these new Chinese tourist won’t be wealthy and they probably can’t get funky financing to buy in a foreign country. Think about it, truly wealthy Chinese already were finding ways around such restrictions.

    Its funny how the real estate industry always hypes everything.

    Current score: 10
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  109. 55
  110. rp Says:

    The climate change debate is moot because it’s quite clear we’re not going to do anything. It affects real estate in that I would be quite hesitant about buying a place near sea-level for the long term :)

    In the 1970′s everyone was worried about SO2 emissions causing acid rain. Emissions were regulated domestically and international agreements were put in place, and now it’s basically solved (except in China, etc). In the 80′s everyone was worried about CFCs destroying the ozone layer. Then CFCs were regulated domestically and international agreements were put in place and ozone depletion has stopped. The ozone layer should be largely repaired in about 70 years.

    The only thing different about CO2 is that oil companies are involved. Given that these guys are responsible for a multitude of wars and illegal arms deals, it was never going to be a fair fight. They waged a public relations war decisively, and until the problem manifests itself in a massive unstoppable crisis, I don’t expect anyone’s mind to change.

    Glaciers are melting at an inconceivable rate – you can just look at the satellite images year after year – and yet the media is filled with people inveighing on crooked scientists and making bizarre claims that the earth is actually cooling when it’s clearly not.

    I’m not going to defend what those scientists did. Their lack of integrity is highly damaging. But there are enough people working on this to have confidence in the overall conclusions, and also to expect a few bad apples.

    Current score: 14
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  111. 56
  112. blueskies Says:

    a few internecine email flame wars does not negate what is happening in the Arctic and Greenland.

    we are living in a fools paradise regarding both the climate and YVR RE…..

    Current score: 7
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  113. 57
  114. other ted Says:

    I have a problem with the word denier. It is orwellian newspeak used to silence criticism. The oil lobby controlling the climate debate is a myth. One it actually helps them to have the general population believe in global warming as it limits the development of otherwise dirty oils such as the tar sands which puts further pressure on prices of conventional oil. also they have large trading floors that trade everything from oil, electricity, gas, currency, and yup you guessed it emissions. There is a far bigger lobby group than the oil companies it is the banks.

    It is estimated that the emissions market is going to be worth 4 trillion to these banksters.

    Look environmental degredation is real. Global warming is a cult masqerading by science to get this ridiculous market going.

    If it is a real problem why don’t they do something about it like we did with acid rain, with hard caps on emitters. why does that work for some problems but not this stupid problem? Because it is a smoke screen.

    There are far more reputable scientists, who are also environmentalist, on the other side of the debate. They are not deniers.

    Current score: -2
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  115. 58
  116. RennieWhereRU? Says:

    just got an email from cknw stating canucks won 5-3 in carolina today. these fuckin morons cant even report a hockey score correctly, and millions of sheeple in vancouver listen to them and/or their affiliates for business, economic and investment advice. no wonder.

    Current score: 11
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  117. 59
  118. logic Says:

    OMFG, I am agreeing with RP.

    ;)

    Current score: 5
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  119. 60
  120. patriotz Says:

    @other ted:

    Global warming is a cult masqerading by science to get this ridiculous market going.

    Yeah OK, so can you just answer one question for us:

    Why is all that ice melting?

    Ice melts when the temperature rises, ice is melting all over the world, so what is your explanation for that if you think worldwide temperatures are not rising?

    And spare the ad hominem arguments, stick to the physical facts, only.

    Current score: 5
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  121. 61
  122. other ted Says:

    Ice melts and it freezes again. In the summer it melts and in the winter it grows again. Its that simple. Not sure what you are looking for. If it is historical limits and averages you can look that up as easy as I can.

    Current score: -14
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  124. other ted Says:

    Oh yeah and if polar bears are dying due to global warming, why are their popluations at all time high’s?

    Current score: 0
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  125. 63
  126. logic Says:

    61 X other ted Says:
    December 5th, 2009 at 4:11 pm

    Ice melts and it freezes again. In the summer it melts and in the winter it grows again. Its that simple.
    —————-

    If your world is this simple, I pity you. Or perhaps I envy you: after all, ignorance is indeed bliss.

    Current score: 6
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  127. 64
  128. california Says:

    @patriotz: I think the definition of “burst” is at question here. From the chart that you linked to, in 2005, house prices were at $250K, and in 2009, ~$380K. It did go up to $480K somewhere in between those two timestamps, but is this how one would define a “bursting” of the bubble?

    Catalysts are still necessary for ponzi schemes to burst. What triggers an abnormal number of people to pull out of their investments at the same time? A lack of buyers would not allow home prices to rise, but for what reason would there be an increase of homes going up for sale?

    Unrelated to patriotz’s post, the California article linked by the main post is interesting, but is also out of context. The rise in home prices didn’t just start in 2002, but from at least 1996. In 1999/2000, there was the dotcom crash that reduced home prices – this affected some areas/classes more than others. Suffice to say that prices in metropolitan areas such as San Francisco was extremely steady. This recent bubble burst did not return prices to less than 1996 prices, not sure about 2002 prices.

    Current score: 1
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  129. 65
  130. other ted Says:

    thanks illogic for your words of wisdom.

    Current score: -3
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  131. 66
  132. mino3 Says:

    @patriotz:

    Woah, let’s back up here. Nobody is denying that the earth is warming – that much is indisputable. I don’t think you’ll ever see anyone argue about that – if you do, then feel free to call them a denier.

    The debate revolves around whether the effect is man made or just part of natural variations. Since it turns out some key data was manipulated to produce such things as the “hockey stick” graph, then a healthy dose of skepticism is entirely appropriate. This is not denial, only re-opening of a debate which was declared closed only by one side with help of a massive dose of propoganda.

    Current score: 0
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  133. 67
  134. other ted Says:

    Yes no one denies the earth was in a warming period from teh 60′s to 1998. The earth has small cycles that are 30 -40 years of warming and cooling we were in a warmng period now it seems a cooling period. The debate is if we are in a cooling period now. That the warming in the last period was normal/not normal. and it is natural/man made.

    No oned denied the earth warmed. There was some record melting of ice in the arctic not antarctic in 2007 i believe. 2008 record freezing.

    Not being a global warming “denier” does not believe you are concerned about the envirnoment, or care about science. You can be and still be labelled a denier. Global warming theory is absolutist. You have to believe the following. The earth is warming, man is responsible, CO2 is the culprit, the warming is bad, it is unprecedented warming, if we don’t act now we are doomed. There can be no debate as this is scientific dogma.

    If anyone saw the munk debates our green party leader and george monbiat(moonbat) both claimed global warming makes AIDS worse in africa.

    If you believe in Global warming you cannot believe in the medieval warming period, mini ice age, the sun is responsible for the heating of the earth. and you must blame almost all world problems on it. you must believe polar bears are gonna go extinct even though stats show the opposite.

    you can not believe in this theory and still be concerned about the environment and still want tough laws.
    But I find it is being used as a straw man. “well even if we are wrong about CO2 its still good to cut back because its good for the environment”

    Well I put this argument in the same league as “even if there is a housing bubble its good because it creates jobs” you see its about allocating resources and being able to assess the real problem. If finding an alternative to oil is being driven by psuedo science we might find a solution not as good as if we are being driven by science. Maybe diversifying for the sake of diversifying is a good idea, that way if peak cheap oil hits it won’t matter. But a lot of alternatives are not being explored for fear of CO2. Coal comes to mind. natural gas etc.

    Current score: -6
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  135. 68
  136. hmm Says:

    crazier than realpaul and his anti-police rants

    Current score: -5
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  137. 69
  138. scooby Says:

    “The funny thing of course is that the same people in power who created and then denied the RE bubble – Bush and company – were also the leading climate change deniers until they were shown the door by the voters.”

    Where does one start?

    The White House didn’t set interest rates, it didn’t oversee Fannie and Freddie and certainly didn’t tell the banks to lend and the rating agencies to go batty. Try Dodd and Frank over in the Congress if you want to find truly culpable politicians.

    As for denying climate change, name one person who denies climate change? Climate is always changing. The point is that some people disagree that people are primarily responsible for this change.

    And to this day, scientists have yet to find the human signal in AGW. All they have is an apparent correlation between increased CO2 and warming, and even this is suspect because the science now recognizes that the historical CO2 increases occur AFTER the warming, not before.

    But to take this point of climate change denial a little further, if you want to really find a denier of climate change you could find it among those who deny that the Medieval Warm Period ever occurred. It is upon this denial that Jones, Briffa, Mann et al have built their argument that the warming between 1970 and 1998 was unprecedented.

    All of this nonsense is crumbling now with the advent of ClimateGate. Jones has resigned, Mann is under investigation by his university and it turns out that Briffa’s tree ring study relied on just a dozen trees out of hundreds in the area.

    Climateaudit.org is a helpful primer.

    Current score: -3
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  139. 70
  140. Beckett Says:

    “Beckett @Straight.com
    I have never understood the mass immigration policies implemented by western countries, such as: England, Canada, USA and Australia.

    I know many of these countries were founded by immigrants, but I do not see the benefits of the scale of immigration we are seeing now.

    There are 250,000 immigrants coming to Canada every year. We also have another 200,000 foreign employees coming to our country every year. This is similar in England and is receiving strong opposition form the British natives.

    By sourcing foreign educated immigrants who are professionally employed in there chosen field already, and then asking them to come to Canada and work at McDonalds or as security guards or taxi drivers is a disservice to all parties involved. We are depriving the developing countries of their most educated people and devaluing their service in Canada.

    Multiculturalism is not mass immigration. Multiculturalism is about enriching an already developed culture with a mix of other cultures to enhance and promote tolerance. It’s like putting salt on your eggs to enhance the taste. Mass immigration is like dumping salt on your food continuously until you can’t eat your food anymore. It benefits no one.”

    Current score: 14
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  141. 71
  142. !(EconomicsDegree) Says:

    @ReadyToPop: “After the recent
    “climategate” scandal, a recycle bin full of scepticism is entirely warranted.”

    “Climategate” was the biggest load of nothing I’ve heard in over a year. Leave the science to the scientists. We’ll leave the tinfoil hat theories to you.

    Current score: 2
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  143. 72
  144. other ted Says:

    becket I agree with your assessment. The tolerance argument is used as a straw man to silence anyone who questions our policy. Immigration is done simply to drive down wages and keep bubbles in real estate and stocks going as the baby boomers have bankrupted our societies.

    No one in the government really cares about the immigrants or us.

    I would say multiculturalism is no culture. What exactly is Canadian culture. Most will say we are like amercians then list how we are different. But on our own we don’t have one. And how does one apreciate another culture when we don’t have one to compare too.

    I would add mulitculturalism isn’t about being able to eat out at different restaurants either. Lets face it almost every country has every cuisine now. anyone that thinks we are unique here hasn’t travelled.

    Current score: 8
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  145. 73
  146. Marendra Says:

    Ha! Listening to the climate trolls (both sides) is almost as funny as listening to the gold bugs. Religion re-branded.

    Let’s talk about how a gold bubble is even better than an RE bubble. Oddly enough the housing bears can’t always see a gold bubble…

    Excuse the banter. I’m just killing time until Calgary RE drops to a reasonable level. Can’t find an interesting Calgary blog.

    Current score: 6
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  147. 74
  148. whatthefu*k Says:

    Interesting to see that most agree on the idea that the climate fluctuates, but few of the uber believers want to understand why. This group of ‘I believe anything the government tells me’ are not adding anything to the debate. Facts are widely available and they don’t all agree with the ‘sustainable development and carbon tax to feed the world’ crowd.

    The climate has changed many times over the past millions of years. Suadi Arabi was once a vast wetlands. Central Asia is referred to as ‘Savannah Land, by scientists for having been a broad swath of verdant landscape which assisted in the migrations of the human species. Of course some of you are also going to deny Darwin by the looks of it.

    Emissions are not the proven cause of climate change. If they were then climate change over the millenia would have had to be caused by emmissions and have clearly not been.

    Heres a twist, maybe people are seeing a change because they have been made aware of the idea by the media. Maybe these same people are so narrow minded and arrogant that they think they can push back the effects of the natural universe on the enviornment in a time span of a human life instead of having to think in geologic time.

    The neanderthals may have had this same discussion when watching climate change reduce the size and availabbility of large game animals across northern Europe leading to thier eventual extinction by starvation. The wooly mammoths probably didn’t like the grass freezing over either.

    If the real problem is emissions and thats whats on the table as the most critical topic that needs to be solved immediatley, then why are India, China, Russia nad Brazil ( and all of the countries in the developing world) exempt from the carbon tax scheme proposed by the Kyotocrats?

    Does Canada produce more greenhouse emissions than China? If its an emissions tax shouldn’t China be paying us? So clearly this is not an emissions tax to clean up the air or save the world.

    So, if its not an emissions tax then what is it? Care to answer that truth deniers ( see it cuts both ways) because the evidence is clear that Kyoto is a carbox tax to fund sustainable development and not an emissions scheme to save the planet. If you don’t understand the propaganda then read the document itself. Have you?

    Britian (under a previuos administration) outed the aid theft by African countries on the floor of the UN. It was met with rage of course. But the Brits point was valid. Of the hundreds of billions in aid dollars going to the third world, it all ends up back in the west in the shape of french castles and mega yachts in the mediteranean. The Brits brought out bank records and photographs.

    So why does Gordon Brown and co want to start funding the aid scam again when they know that the money never reaches the people it was intended for? The word is ‘refugees’, they are flooding north and have massed along the coast of North Africa like a hoard of barbarians waiting for the tide to invade. Is the funding for climate change…no, its for stronger regimes to hold back the tide of escapees. Ugly yes, real yes again.

    So you believe the claptrap that climate change can be ended by next Friday, ain’t gonna happen. I love the David Suzuki documentaries too and agree that his daughter is hot, but this alone will not blanket over the facts that earth has its own agenda and it has nothing to do with transferring wealth to the third world under various new tax schemes.

    Climate has changed over millions and billions of years without the presence of man and will continue to do so. Wait for it…….entire continental shifts have also occured MANY times. What tax scheme will stop the formation of another Pangea or Gondowana.

    Can’t handle the truth, and I’m the denier? Have another coffee.

    Current score: -6
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  149. 75
  150. arit Says:

    “I’m as mad as hell, and I’m not going to take this anymore!”

    Hello readers!

    I am posting this in the 2-3 forums I frequent. Want to ask your opinion on something…
    I like the idea of “Torches and Pitchforks” to express what we feel towards “the powers that be”. Glenn Beck had people mailing him real pitchforks at a time.
    But we live in a digital world.
    How about a little piece of free software courtesy of your truly for the cellphone, where you can chose to have a torch or a pitchfork. You write your message “House prices are unsustainable!!!” or “Walmart is dangerous!!!”.

    Then you shake your pitchfork, shake it well!!!!

    As you do that, a little map of the world, accessible from your phone or though a dedicated website from your machine, will show you shaking your pitchfork angrily, and a balloon with text will carry your message. The more you shake, the angrier your stick figure gets. At any given time, you can see what people all over the world are ranting about (the message stays after you finish shaking, of course).

    It will take me a couple of months-nights to create something like this, but sounds like fun…

    What do you think?

    Best regards

    arit

    Current score: 10
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  151. 76
  152. whatthefu*k Says:

    A direct quote from the Copenhagen Agenda

    “Finally, rich and poor will argue over the legal structure of an eventual deal, as poorer nations resist any effort to bind them legally, and subject them to close scrutiny, as they pursue greener economies. They cite the 1992 treaty, which distinguished between two worlds, recognizing an obligation by the rich to undo the climate damage they’ve done, and by the poor to raise their peoples from poverty. ”

    Its all about the money people. The climate argument is just a smokescreen to get the gouging of the guilty to be ‘rich’ west to begin in earnest.

    The recipients want no scrutiny of how the ‘carbon tax’ money will be distributed or used. The recipients want the same old staus quo of buying French Castles and NY apartments to go with the new mega yachts. After all who doesn’t need a high rise condo and a new yacht to fend off rising sea levels.

    And they want the west to pay ‘reparations’ for having been successful while they have laid about raping each others goats and killing one another instead of developing fresh water and schools.

    Why does this have anything to do with real estate? Because these assholish agendas of the government are going to further deteriorate your net pay by way of higher taxes to pay for this pie in the sky socialist bleeding heart nonsense. From a macro POV it will erode your ability to afford a home.

    How many of you want an additional HST on top of all the taxes we already pay so some African dictator can steal the aid money and live in Zurich? The best way to promote change in the third world is to stop all aid and all immigration to and from those regions.

    Let thier own people put pressure on thier own governments by force to enable change. Never mind countries like Canada acting like a pressure valve for the problems of Islam, Chinese christians, greedy and malcontent Tamils or tribal goat raping woman hating Somalis? Sending more money is obviously not solving thier internal issues is it? We need to pressure them to change by building walls around them and forcing them to clean up thier acts.

    Why the hell should Canada take the blame for the Islamo tribal hatreds of the Ethiopias of the world? Our taxdollars should be spent here on improving the lives of Canadians.

    Current score: -4
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  153. 77
  154. realpaul Says:

    Debt implosion in Dubai. Too big to fail. Ya sure. Great read. Great warning about what can happen when a government gets caught bullshitting.

    http://www.timesonline.co.uk/t.....945283.ece

    Current score: 1
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  155. 78
  156. realpaul Says:

    good laughs

    http://economicrot.blogspot.com/

    Current score: 0
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  157. 79
  158. DEFAULT NAME Says:

    I had to sell a rental condo in late summer, last tenant left and strata no longer allow rental. Last week I met a realtor who sold and bought several units in that building for his clients. He told me that my ex-unit is for sale again asking initially at 60k more than the last sale price and now reduced to 40k more. There are still flippers out there.

    Current score: 13
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  159. 80
  160. FORREST Says:

    Most people don’t read blogs more than 4 lines long. Just say’in.

    FORREST

    Current score: 1
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  161. 81
  162. denialisrampant Says:

    Experts outed for mass fraud.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ydo2Mwnwpac

    Current score: 1
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  163. 82
  164. patriotz Says:

    @scooby:

    Where does one start?

    The White House didn’t set interest rates, it didn’t oversee Fannie and Freddie and certainly didn’t tell the banks to lend and the rating agencies to go batty. Try Dodd and Frank over in the Congress if you want to find truly culpable politicians.

    Where do I start?

    The Federal Reserve is in charge of interest rates, right? Who appointed Bernanke as Fed chair? Bush, right? Now read this:

    Bernanke: There’s No Housing Bubble to Go Bust: October 27, 2005

    Ben S. Bernanke does not think the national housing boom is a bubble that is about to burst, he indicated to Congress last week, just a few days before President Bush nominated him to become the next chairman of the Federal Reserve

    Many economists argue that house prices have risen too far too fast in many markets, forming a bubble that could rapidly collapse and trigger an economic downturn, as overinflated stock prices did at the turn of the century. Some analysts have warned that even a flattening of house prices might cause a slump — posing the first serious challenge to whoever succeeds Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan after he steps down Jan. 31.

    Bernanke’s testimony suggests that he does not share such concerns, and that he believes the economy could weather a housing slowdown.

    I suggest you also try a little googling on, for example, “bush a home of your own”.

    As for Congress, which party controlled both the House and Senate from 2002 to 2006, the period during which the bubble because obvious to any objective observer? The Republicans, that’s who. Not the party of Dodd and Frank.

    And nobody told the banks to lend. No US law or regulation ever required banks to lend without a down payment, without verification of income, without reasonable debt service ratios, or with nutty amortization schedules. The banks – and more importantly the nonbank lenders such as Countrywide – decided to do this themselves.

    Do a little research on the saying “the buck stops here”. The length to which some people will go to try to excuse Bush and the Republicans for things that they bear full responsibility for is unreal. Take your nonsense to a US blog where you’ll have more company. See you at the “tea party”.

    Current score: 7
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  165. 83
  166. patriotz Says:

    White House Philosophy Stoked Mortgage Bonfire

    “We can put light where there’s darkness, and hope where there’s despondency in this country. And part of it is working together as a nation to encourage folks to own their own home.” — President Bush, Oct. 15, 2002

    Eight years after arriving in Washington vowing to spread the dream of homeownership, Mr. Bush is leaving office, as he himself said recently, “faced with the prospect of a global meltdown” with roots in the housing sector he so ardently championed.

    There are plenty of culprits, like lenders who peddled easy credit, consumers who took on mortgages they could not afford and Wall Street chieftains who loaded up on mortgage-backed securities without regard to the risk.

    But the story of how we got here is partly one of Mr. Bush’s own making, according to a review of his tenure that included interviews with dozens of current and former administration officials.

    Read this article and try to tell us with a straight face that Bush did not promote, and then deny, the US housing bubble.

    Current score: 14
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  167. 84
  168. other ted Says:

    Not a Bush apologist but the loose lending at Fannie Mae goes back to the Clinton administration after Clinton apointed rahm emanualle to head fannie mae. Also Housing bubble was well on its way by the time bernake got in. Greenspan is not so innocent. I believe he was appointed by Reagan. And the deregulaton of the banking sector happened when clinton got rid of the Glass-Steagal act.

    But like I said not an apologist for anyone there is a lot of blame to be spread around here.

    Current score: 1
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  169. 85
  170. spectrum Says:

    @other ted: Lets face it almost every country has every cuisine now. anyone that thinks we are unique here hasn’t travelled

    Have you ever left BC? Tell me where you can get good sushi in London or Chinese food in Rome. It just isn’t there Vancouver is very lucky in that sense.

    Current score: -8
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  172. Bob Says:

    It’s starting… http://iphone.metronews.ca/Van.....cle/388024

    Current score: 2
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  173. 87
  174. DEFAULT NAME Says:

    @spectrum, suggest that you do a bit of traveling yourself.
    There are no lack of excellent sushi bars in London. Did you not read that an ex-Russian-spy being poisoned in an upscale Japanese restaurant in London by KGB agent? There is one decent Chinese restaurant in Rome just just next to the Famous Trevi fountain. I recall 2 very good Chinese restaurants at Champs Elysees and no lack of Japanese restaurants too. Acquainted with Yoko Ono’s brother, heir of his family banking business, in Paris.

    Current score: 5
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  175. 88
  176. DEFAULT NAME Says:

    What are you guys seeing in Vancouver? There are sighting of … no not ALIENS .. just homeless down-and-out in exodus being driven out of the 2010 Olympic city. Spade of robberies in family run restaurants, B&Es, vehicles with smashed glasses are on the rise in Burnaby.

    Current score: 2
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  177. 89
  178. other ted Says:

    85 spectrum i couldn’t help laughing reading your post, its so vancouver. you sort of remind me of the vancouver guy i met on the ferry leaving Ios greece in 2000 who was whining that there was no good sushi on that island. I think anonymous 87 pointed out how you are wrong already. my question is why even travel if you have that attitude. Its like going to India and complaining about the quality of the mexican food.

    Current score: 11
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  180. Boombust Says:

    And, why go to Israel when a knish or a blintz or two can be had at a Haddassah Bazaar?

    Current score: 3
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  181. 91
  182. logic Says:

    89, very true.

    We _are_ lucky here to have such a variety of good restaurants.

    87 – Sushi in London is good, but is an expensive dinner out (but what isn’t in London?). I like the good quality reasonably priced sushi here.

    But then again, this hardly makes Van unique.

    Current score: 3
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  183. 92
  184. Londonernow Says:

    Don’t know about Chine
    se food in Rome, but in London you can get great sushi at Zuma, Nobu, Japan Cafe, etc.

    Current score: 6
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  185. 93
  186. DEFAULT NAME Says:

    @Anonymous:
    Are you sure you had a rental unit that was banned by the strata?
    Which strata was that? do you have the strata number or building name? Which Property Management Company manages the building?
    It would be grandfathered in, if what you said is true.

    What building was it in?

    Current score: 0
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  187. 94
  188. DEFAULT NAME Says:

    @93 I was the original owner and rented it out before the strata voted against rental about 5 years ago. However that decision did not immediately affect my rental unit until after the tenants moved out, i.e. last August; hence the sale as I have no intention to move in.

    Current score: 1
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  189. 95
  190. Lord Huggington Says:

    Saw this video about unemployment figures over at Mish’s. I’m sure it’s obvious to pretty much everyone here, but still bares repeating, and worth emailing the link to family and friends that don’t understand how unemployment statistics actually work.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v.....player_emb

    Current score: 2
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  192. rp Says:

    Non-traditional lenders won’t renew mortgages:

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com.....le1390721/

    Current score: 6
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  193. 97
  194. squidly77 Says:

    from the government To You With Love

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  195. 98
  196. realpaul Says:

    Is this the real story behind the rise in unemployment stats. McJobs and hopelessness. Deja Vu of the 1980′s

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/200.....liday_jobs

    Sure theres a lot of good food in London, but buying a pound with a CDN suck buck means having to pay double price for everything. It sucks to be CDN travelling in Europe if you can’t expense everything. I remember a time when CDN’s dominated the travel scene in Europe. Now, they’re a rare bird.

    This why I’ve said that I suspect CDN internal policy is being affected by the type of travel CDN’s do now, which is strictly third world on the cheap or stay home.Two generations of CDNs have been shut out of Europe because of the low dollar policy.

    These people are now bringing back the ideas that they picked up in the third world instead, devolving CDN society into a third world soup instead of to what was once a more enlightened and progtressive system. With the focus of CDN politics shifting more to the needs of the third world we are becoming a third world country ourselves.

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  197. 99
  198. california Says:

    @No Longer Looking: #54, I guess there’s more than one way to look at this. First, I don’t know if there’s a limit to the number of rich foreigners. Especially if you think that their economies might continue to grow and ours stagnate. If we were to just look at China as compared to 10 years ago, the number of wealthy have risen considerably. As their economy grows stronger, the number of wealthy will grow along with it. If you were to factor in forex, now is a bad time to convert to Canadian. So over time, as foreigners are making their local currency, and as the Loonie falls in value, Canadian products will feel as though they are on discount.

    Keep in mind that China’s population is also 39 times that of Canada. In fact, pretty much every place in the world is more dense than Canada. If foreigners are willing to live more densely, they can pool together resources to purchase. We’ve been hearing about this type of behaviour since 2006, so it’s not out of the question.

    Current score: -10
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  199. 100
  200. patriotz Says:

    @rp:

    Ms. Matthews is one of many Canadians being abandoned by a breed of alternative lenders that have stopped lending to customers, who, because of poor credit scores, lower-paying jobs, or minimal home equity, couldn’t obtain financing from a traditional lender, such as a bank

    These people had no business buying a house in the first place.

    Records obtained under the Access to Information Act show that a lobby group representing these lenders has warned the federal government that, unless taxpayers offer help, they will be forced to foreclose on as many as 30,000 homeowners over the next three years.

    Isn’t “free enterprise” great?

    If these “homeowners” could meet CMHC’s (minimal) standards, any bank would be happy to refinance their mortgages. But since they can’t, the borrowers and lenders want the taxpayers to bail them out.

    Well TFB.

    Current score: 6
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  201. 101
  202. ta da Says:

    Globe and Mail
    “Orphaned Homeowners Face Foreclosure”
    read the article – it will make your blood boil.
    Maybe a good topic for a post.

    Current score: 4
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  203. 102
  204. The Pope Says:

    @ta da: Just posted that! reload the main page to view it, or click here:
    http://vancouvercondo.info/200.....es-up.html

    Current score: 2
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  205. 103
  206. Arwen Says:

    @ California:
    Wouldn’t rich foreigners either be immigrating, be buying expensive pied a terre’s to sit empty for private occasional use, or be investing to rent?

    In the investing to rent scenario, you’re putting $300K down one way or another in leverage or monthly payments or whatever, so that the rents pay the carrying costs. And $300K is a huge opportunity cost if the rate of appreciation even slows, because rents here are not going to make anyone rich, when vacancy loss, cleaning, upkeep, etc. get factored in. There are far better investments, and rich people the world over are rich because they make good investments.

    If they’re immigrating, pretty soon you’ll run into the cost of living issue in Vancouver. It’s an expensive place to do business year round. They become part of our numbers. And our numbers don’t support these prices.

    So the third idea is only way the Rich Foreigner scenario might work – that Vancouver will become empty resort town. Resorts ARE always more expensive.

    Only Whistler, which is more obviously a resort town, has watched its prices suffer.

    Etc.

    Didn’t Florida and Vegas each already have this conversation? The world outside of Canada is ON SALE, and there are many places where you can go, at any point in the year, and have sun. And if you’re rich, you can bring friends and relatives to you. At Vancouver prices, you’d still be saving money.

    I love Vancouver, but I’d be hard pressed to say it’s worth that much more as a second home when the world’s your oyster than some places up the coast, or than Vegas, or Hawaii, or Spain, or France, or Australia, or even New York. And in New York, which is at our price point, the rents justify the prices, and even we could buy out in the boroughs. And I imagine I’m the least wealthy bear here.

    Current score: 4
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  207. 104
  208. DEFAULT NAME Says:

    Vancouver is not really good enough to be a resort town. But it’s perfect to park your money here for laundering or simply to bring your family here for free education and health care, while attending to business abroad.
    Did you watch the CBC special on CAN vs. CHINA last week?
    The interviewed investors blatantly admitted that China is much better place when it comes to business opportunities right now, so that’s where they stay, However, Canada is perfect for their wifes, parents and children. So this is where they buy houses. Simple.

    Current score: -1
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  209. 105
  210. rid of ball-and-chain Says:

    “Canada is perfect for their wives, parents and children. So this is where they buy houses. Simple.”
    Actually, so they can have 1st concubine in Shanghai, 2nd concubine in Beijing, and 3rd concubine in Hongkong, 4th concubine in Macau, 5th concubine in Shenzhen … the list is shorter than Tiger Wood’s

    Current score: 1
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