It’s the end of another week as we wind down another year and that means it’s time for another Friday Free-for-all.
This is our regular end of the week news round up and open topic discussion thread for the weekend. Here are a few recent links to kick off the chat:
–condos see another small down tick
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So what are you seeing out there? Post your news links, thoughts and anecdotes in the comments below and have an excellent weekend!
“Is the U.S. in the Midst of a Housing Bubble?”, Bloomberg video
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2016-12-27/is-the-u-s-in-the-midst-of-a-housing-bubble
“Bloomberg Intelligence’s Yelena Shulyatyeva discusses U.S. home prices and the impact of an increase in mortgage rates on housing demand. She speaks on “Bloomberg Markets.” “
Generally agree with the analyst, but she didn’t mention that the ownership rate nationally is lower than in 2005 (due in part to stricter lending standards), so fewer owners are likely to get into trouble going forward.
“Beijing desperate to stem tide of capital outflows”
http://asia.nikkei.com/Markets/Capital-Markets/Beijing-desperate-to-stem-tide-of-capital-outflow
“Yuan Turnover Soars in Sign of December Outflow Pressures”
If outflows pick up again, we will see much fresh money flowing into Vancouver land and housing. More “land assembly” signs, more vacant lots held for speculation, more buying of apartments as safe deposit boxes.
Is it possible that we just sit and look at this shitshow without the power to do anything?
We have the power to do something we just don’t have the guts to do it. We all know what needs to be done.
The real problem is that a large proportion of the electorate thinks that continued high RE prices are in their interest. That is, it’s simply not wanting a solution, rather than lacking the “guts” to effect one.
Shivering van dwellers a sign of Whistler’s housing crunch
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/shivering-van-dwellers-a-sign-of-whistler-s-housing-crunch-1.3911296
The ‘foreign investor’ voted business newsmaker of 2016
http://globalnews.ca/news/3148663/the-foreign-investor-voted-business-newsmaker-of-2016/
Lately, financial expansionism is being complemented by military muscle http://www.vancouversun.com/news/world/china+first+aircraft+carrier+five+warships+sail+into+disputed/12597080/story.html
China’s first aircraft carrier and five other warships passed by Taiwan and sailed into the contested South China Sea on Monday, Taiwan’s Defence Ministry said.
These guys think they own thw world.
Dec 2016
As of Dec 24th
Average Change: -3.78% Up:107 Down:677
Overall $ Change: -49,886,749.00 Average Change Amount:-63,631.06
Oh no, the end is here!
Bestplaceonearth, are you a Christy Clark supporter? Just curious.
How did the Chinese people become so incredibly rich so quickly? How do they manage to smuggle all this cash out of their homeland? Where did the investment initially originate to build their vast factory gulags in “special economic zones”. Some historians have called this phenomenon “the greatest transfer of wealth in human history.”
As others have pointed out previously, the Chinese people aren’t “incredibly rich” at all. China’s a semi-developed economy on a par with Brazil. It’s just really big, so there are a lot of people who are rich and who are motivated to get their money out.
It got where it is so quickly because Mao had held it back, and it reverted to a garden variety corrupt 3rd world economy after he was gone. But other countries in the region with better governance have done much better, e.g. HK, Singapore, Taiwan, South Korea.
As property prices have skyrocketed at home and as the yuan has steadily declined in value against the dollar, Chinese investors have been pouring their money into overseas property to safeguard their wealth in recent years. Overall Chinese investment in foreign commercial and residential real estate jumped from $5.6 billion in 2012 to $34.4 billion last year, according to a report by Knight Frank Research.
Yup. Perhaps house prices will not be high forever. But for the foreseeable future, there is no denying the size of this investments flows is staggering and can support a small market like ours for years to come.
Yes, many more years of madness. Unless we vote in a government that is serious about protecting our land base and housing from predatory investments from abroad.
One last thing: colonization was once done by violence and war. So far, China has shown how they can colonize entire regions by stealth and financial means. It might actually be cheaper this way: wars can be extremely expensive!
The problem is Canada or BC yet don’t have serious and mature political party to confront and eventually eliminate the shit coming from China by all means and at the all levels. Our clueless politicians do not understand what special conquering war is and how is it “peacefully” conducted until it isn’t and when it’s already late.
This is just investment/peer-to-peer lending. The investors do not gain any control of the properties they invest in. The punters (in the case Chinese) go for it because they are told it it is real estate, and believe that real estate is magical, but it could just as easily be stamps, or pop-music or magic goat milk. It’s concerning alright, but the losers here are people buying into the Ponzi scheme.
“unless we put in place measures that limit or eliminate the inflows of cash from China”
To stop cash coming into Canada from China, you would have to stop all exports to China and tourism from China. Think that’s going to happen? And anyway it could still come in from 3rd countries.
“but seriously going after vehicles/arrangements that allow it to be deployed.”
Right. Change the tax laws to make it unattractive to park wealth in RE. Just one hitch – to be airtight, it has to apply to everyone.
I agree it would require broad based messures. They would have to include locals, there is no other way.
I would vote for them immediately.
Nah. No price cannot be pushed up permanently by purchasing. Prices can be pulled up by a change in returns but, in RE, where the returns are based on rents, prices always return to the mean. There has never been an example to the contrary.
To me, permanent means a lot more than 12 years. Unless real incomes at least double, we will definitely see real prices fall by at least 50%. A more reasonable expectation is a fall by 66% if incomes do not triple. Most of the real price adjustment will probably take the form of a slow decline coupled with strong inflation.
Are you for real? Must be on drugs!
Dream on dude. I was just like you until 5 years ago.
Then I learned my lesson.
A 30% correction would still be insanity in my book. Unfortunately 50 to 60 % is not going to happen as long as the chinese bring money in. They would be the first to snap land up at those prices.
Anyone have the breakdown for # of Detached, Townhome, Condo/Apartment, and Basement suites in each city in metro Vancouver? Or where to obtain them.
The thing is, somewhere the music stops with debt. Imagine what it means to real estate in Vancouver if it stops simultaneously in China and Canada.
New listing: 6088 Newton Wynd, UBC: $12,500,000
Purchased Feb, 2004 for $2,500,000, try to sell just for $10,000,000 more.
Who cares, I cannot afford either…
What you should actually be able to buy in Vancouver for $2.5 million (plus inflation).
In California jurisdictions attempting rent control, realtor associations and ‘apartment associations’ block action:
South Bay: http://www.mercurynews.com/2016/12/23/mountain-view-rent-control-measure-sidelined-by-judges-order/
Rural North Bay:
http://www.pressdemocrat.com/news/4392104-181/santa-rosas-great-rent-control?gallery=5128231&artslide=0
Those collecting signatures for the anti-rent control petition were paid $5 per signature and misled signatories about what the petition meant, according to NPR.
The hidden costs of foreign student policy: Academic insiders respond
http://vancouversun.com/news/staff-blogs/the-hidden-cost-of-foreign-student-policy-insiders-respond
Thanks for the link. From the comments:
“our job as Canadians to share with them our values and beliefs, so that when these students/immigrants realize the costs of living in Canada, perhaps they will return to their country of origin with the values and attitudes required to help their own societies. As for Canadians, the friendships and cultural awareness we gain from interactions with foreign students are invaluable. Canada has much to offer the world, so we shouldn’t worry about burdens to our social and economic systems”
Messiah complex? Troll?
Masochistic tendency mised with an evagenlical narcissism.
I am sure thr Chinese have equally benevolent feelings towards Canada and its population. (It is Christmas after all)
“Moreover, there is no question that some prospective foreign students are cheating on language tests.
I spent many years marking the Language Proficiency Index, so I speak from experience here.
This kind of cheating can be difficult to prove and it is impossible to stamp out entirely. But it is definitely a factor in enabling some foreign students to gain entry to Canadian institutions.
“There is no question that some prospective foreign students are cheating on language tests. I spent many years marking the Language Proficiency Index, so I speak from experience,” says this former associate dean.
Moreover, students entering directly from China supply their grades from their Chinese high schools. If I were an admissions officer, I would consider these grades highly suspect.”
Cheating, eh? That’s quite a surprise.
The Sun feels it necessary to tell stories about sales that happened in May, presumably because people want to feel good at Christmas.
It sold in May!
Yes, that’s what I said.
Yo Funkey Monkey,
Your listing in question asking 2.988 sold for 2.940 after 3 days on market.
Pretty sharply priced for a large, modern west side house that includes a 1000 sqft laneway house.
Thanks! The house had a for sale sign for at least three weeks.
Sharply priced for who?
A lady on CKNW summed up the Vancouver situation nicely. She said Asians don’t like to rent and when they send heir kid over for education, they buy so child can focus on study.
She said 500 million middle class and those that come will spend $1.5 million on home.
Stop making up shit with CKNW you bitter trailer trash…
Chinese “middle-class” can’t even afford a 1-bedroom condo in Vancouver.
Ha ha ha. “Focus on study”.
This lady sounds like a realtor.
Either that or it’s Oracle calling in from Hawaii.
BS. Dorms at UBC a full of mainlanders renting. They just built 2 x 18 story towers to house them.
Most of that 500 million Chinese “middle class” couldn’t afford an airline ticket to Canada.
China’s average annual wage was 56,360 yuan ($8,655) in 2014
YVR – you will say anything and do anything to support your Nazi rant – go back to your trailer
When you think about it, does writing 20 replies make your message stronger, or weaker?
20 copies of the same reply.
CanNever
More like Can Never cry loud enough for people to hear your entitled rant….mommy help me…
New
25
Price Change
4
Sold
66
TI:7332
Saved from a Chinese dog meat festival, 110 pooches arrive in Canada.
http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/saved-from-a-chinese-dog-meat-festival-110-pooches-arrive-in-canada-1.3215949?autoPlay=true
30 million dogs are slaughtered for meat every year around the world, the majority of them in China.
What can anybody even say about a disgusting practice like this? And it’s not just the consumption of the dogs, but the methods used in how they are captured and killed which I won’t get into here. Sickening animal cruelty of the worst kind.
same logic – based on your name you must be a terrorist ….
Dogs are animals.
How many kids are killed in Syria, Iraq, and Palestine by Canadians, Americans and Juice.
You are a sick man, putting animals before innocent children.
This is a product of a grossly overpopulated country that has seen waves of famine throughout history and thus people adapted. But what does Canada do to make matters worse? We implement immigration policies that only encourage world overpopulation. We allow immigration that circumvents Chinas very legitimate one child policy. We have even allowed Chinese ‘refugees’ who’s primary complaint was not being allowed to have more than one child.
I know a mainland China Chinese couple who came here on the basis of the wife’s prc (obtained via Cdn experience qualifiers- langara early childhood education, hahaha). She worked at a daycare, but had literally been on maternity leave for five years straight birthing son after son after son. Her husband does not appear to be employed, and I have observed them driving several different luxury vehicles that certainly no one else working at the daycare could dream of affording. Creative !
Borabora – all I can smell is your bitter trailer trash rant….go back to banjo playing families
F loser
I hope beside food stamps, they get enough social assistance to at least cover up for maintenance and insurance of all those luxury vehicles.
and white trash like you are selling meth on Hastings daily….
“Food stamps”? Check which side of the border the website is on before posting.
Food stamps, food aid, whatever, you know exactly what is it about…
Combat is this 5 foot nothing white trash hillbilly chicken shit trolling on sites with his bitterness…
Btw, care to back up your claim with some facts cuz even in Chinese cities with millions of people and sizable Korean population, it is damn hard to find any restaurant that serves dog meat.
I was in Taiwan for two months way back in 1993. My Canadian co-workers there told me never to worry about being served dog because they keep the good stuff for themselves.
Sailor55 – with your banjo playing background you wouldn’t know if you were eating your own mother’s feet….
@50 cents.
Your insult is not working because you do not understand the culture well enough to know the breadth of associations with banjos. The one you’re thinking of is not the main one.
I know enough to reconize the squealing you do every night trailer trash
I know enough to reconize the squealing you do every night trailer trash
“it is damn hard to find any restaurant that serves dog meat.”
Hard to find but easy to eat in any Chinese restaurant. Dog meat is spelled “chicken” on the menu.
YVR, if you let go of your boyfriend’s 1 incher, you will taste what meat you are eating….
So uhm…how many cows, pigs, chicken, horse (yes horse!) are slaughter in Canada each year??
Space, do you prefer the taste of cat or dog?
I’m more of a cow/pig/chicken guy myself.
we don’t care what you do sexually with these animals…stay on topic you dumb banjo f—
“110 pooches arrive in Canada”
I can see it now on xmas in space cadets house. Hey dad I didn’t know there was such thing as a 4 legged turkey?
And this relates to real estate how?
It doesn’t. It’s just the usual suspects trawling for negative articles about their favourite topic – but not because they’re a little racist, oh no.
Mainland communist China is not a race, dipshit.
Merry Racemas, you round eyed prick!
the only thing that’s round is your butt hole, closet case…
It might relate when due to a real estate boom some buyers of certain background and exquisite taste get urge for some special homemade delicatessen here in Canada. Would you ever think before that in the middle of Canada, BC, Mao Zedong would be worshipped and celebrated more than Canadian heroes and veterans?
Roach is a chicken shit hiding in a white hood…
get the stimulus!
Canada’s Economy Shrinks on Worst Factory Output Since 2013
I remember looneys on sale for 62 cents. Maybe we could go for 50 this time.
Canada’s real-estate boom: a Chinese perspective
Think prices in Toronto or Vancouver are crazy? Try looking for an apartment in Shanghai, and you’ll understand Canada’s appeal.
“https://www.thestar.com/news/world/2016/12/23/canadas-real-estate-boom-a-chinese-perspective.html”
Close the gates now. Keeping them open spells disaster for the Lower Mainland.
again its neo nazi dicks like Just Me who hides under trolls clothing to take cheap rants about any group that is doing better than this trailer trash….
“Close the gates now…”
And not because of real-estate, fuck the real-estate, but because of the overall social and human disaster in making. This lucrative but wild model of forced and enormous
settlement of one “unfit” group of people on the general detriment of another, is poised for a catastrophe sooner or later. Rational balance is already broken, local people are not happy, neither Chinese. However, most of them offset discomfort with the fact that they moved money out of China and that comes with the price. Whoever thinks that such chaotic and unfounded social and cultural changes can succeed without ugly consequences is going to get badly surprised.
look in the mirror loser if you want to blame anyone
I think you will be unhappy no matter where you live…well maybe except certain parts of SouthEast Asia where they love you long time for $20 still?
Speaking of “long time”, isn’t it time for you to find a new hobby?
From 1965 – Charlie Brown’s Christmas – Real Estate!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wzHF0TlAIYA
Merry Christmas!
China’s Alibaba back on US counterfeits blacklist
FBI probes FDIC hack linked to China’s military: Sources
http://www.cnbc.com/2016/12/23/fbi-probes-fdic-hack-linked-to-chinas-military-sources.html
B.C. election spending spree ramping up
http://globalnews.ca/news/3145867/b-c-election-spending-spree-ramping-up/