All posts by VCI Admin

Canadian Banks could absorb losses in US-style housing crash

Good news for your monday morning!

If Canada saw a ‘US-style housing crisis‘ the big 6 banks could generate enough capital in a few quarters to cover losses.

If Canada were to experience a U.S.-style housing crisis, with house prices falling by up to 35 per cent, mortgage lenders including the country’s big six banks could lose nearly $12 billion, according to a new report from Moody’s Investors Service.

CMHC would also take a hit of about $6 billion if they challenge and reject claims, but if they decided not to they would take about half the loss as it would be more evenly split between the banks and CMHC.

You probably don’t have to worry about a US-style nationwide housing crash, because we have a different mortgage market that is explicitly backed by the government. The main concern would be rate increases and job losses as Canadian debt loads continue to increase:

There was almost $1.6 trillion in mortgage debt outstanding at the end of March, including home equity lines of credit, more than double the amount outstanding 10 years ago.

Read the full article over at the Financial Post.

Friday Free-for-all! June 17th 2016

It’s that time of the week again…

Friday Free-for-all time! This is our standard end of the week news round up and open topic discussion thread for the weekend.

Here are a few recent links to kick off the chat:

Lowest interest rates in 5000 years
Tales from a line-up
Careful with that equity Eugene
Would ‘Brexit’ affect our prices?
Bank of mom & dad
More tales from a line-up
Housing bubble alarm

So what are you seeing out there? Post your news links, thoughts and anecdotes here and have an excellent weekend!

Pity the detached home-owner

There’s a lot of angry young people in Vancouver, people who think they deserve to be able to afford a home in this specific city.  A few of the angrier ones would like to make the issue all about race, but I guess if you’re of a certain kind of mindset EVERYTHING can be about race.

It wasn’t always like this.  Vancouver used to be a nice small town where the average income would be able to to stretch and afford a local detached home.  Wouldn’t it be great to have gotten in at that time?

Maybe not.  After all, It’s not these owners fault that property prices have gone up and up and property taxes have nudged up a bit as well.

Fortunately if you’re in this group the mayor of North Vancouver has got your back.

Mr. Mussatto said this week that he would like the province to look into separating single-family houses from condominiums and multiple-unit dwellings so owners of single-family houses could be charged a lower tax rate.

The mayor argues that while the value of single-family houses has skyrocketed in recent years, the value of condos has remained relatively stable. “If you’re a condo owner, your taxes may indeed be going down this year, because condos didn’t go up much or they didn’t go up at all compared to single-family homes,” he told me in an interview. “The bottom line is that there are some people who are getting hurt pretty significantly and I want to make sure that we’re fair with the tax system so everybody pays their fair share.”

Read the full article over at the Globe and Mail, and then if you’re so inclined go back to your racist rantings. That’s sure to be an effective way to change the way things are and get everybody on your side.

Friday Free-for-all!

The weekend! Here it is!

Let’s do another Friday Free-for-all, round up some recent links and kick off the open topic discussion thread for the weekend:

Supply problem?
Don’t panic, but be first if you do
A housing bubble you say?
CRA looks at flippers
the bright side of dead relatives
Big banks nervous
JT: Prices hurt economy
most sustainable on earth
ending homeless a dumb promise
worst city for the young and educated

So what are you seeing out there? Post your news links, thoughts and anecdotes here and have an excellent weekend!

Ten thousand empty homes

Bubble tea pointed out that back in March a study claimed that 10,800 homes were empty for more than a year in 2014.

They reached this conclusion by studying electricity usage, if it remained flat for 25 days the home was deemed to be vacant.

Of course many of these homes could have been occupied by paleo-humans who eschew electricity in favor of a simpler lifestyle.  How many condos in Kerrisdale are filled with families huddled under blanket, burning their own waste to keep warm?

The majority of the empty homes in 2014 were apartments — 9,747 — and vacancy rates were highest on the West Side of the city, with 9.4 per cent in the area that stretches from Kitsilano to Point Grey and 8.6 per cent in neighbourhoods that include Kerrisdale, Dunbar and Southlands.

Suggested reasons for the vacancies included a home was bought for investment, was under renovation, the owners were on vacation, the home was caught up in an estate sell-off, or it was being flipped. A home was deemed empty in a given month if the hydro data showed a flat consistent use of electricity for 25 or more days in that month for a year. The findings were not specific to neighbourhoods but separated into five large geographic areas. Basement suites were not included in the study.

Are 10,800 empty homes a negative thing for a city, and If you had unlimited power what would you do to change this situation?  Would you opt for incentives for owners to rent out empty homes or a some sort of system to try to prevent them from remaining empty?