Polozi Scheme posted this link to a post at Ross McKay real estate consultants with the theory that the Vancouver real estate is a ‘currency exchange ponzi scheme’.
A investor seeking to remove Chinese Yuan from China and have it converted into a foreign currency purchases a home in Vancouver. The investor once having the currency exchange authorized and completed for the purchase to take place then offers the same opportunity to another investor who is willing to offset any costs the original investor incurred through paying a high enough price for the same home that then allows the previous investor to “break-even”. This pattern is continued over and over again causing the selling price to raise higher and higher at no risk to the investor, while at the same time offering higher and higher amounts of currency to be exchanged on the rising home price being paid.
At no time is the price paid reflective of fundamental value of the real estate being traded but is being established for ulterior purposes that are not related to normal house price growth.
At some point in time the scheme ends as the last investor is converting so much currency that the benefits exceed even the need to “break even” and the home can be sold at a net loss. When that moment is reached the appearance of sustained house price growth ends and the scheme ends moving the scheme somewhere else.
Read the full posting here.
It’s Friday the 13th and that means it’s time for another Friday free-for-all, or regular end of the week news round up and open topic discussion thread.
Here are a few recent links to kick off the chat
–Normal interest rates are history
–Canadian rates to rise?
–Why does this government hate free money?
–Negative discretionary income
–Vancouver, stay or go?
–Freak show housing market
–One heck of a student loan
So what are you seeing out there? Post your news links, thoughts and anecdotes here and have an excellent weekend!
The BC government has announced new rules that require purchasers to reveal citizenship details:
The new requirements, aimed at answering whether foreign ownership is driving up housing prices, go beyond the data that are supposed to be collected for Canada’s anti-money-laundering agency whenever someone is involved in a real estate transaction. Records show there is significant non-compliance among Vancouver-area real estate firms, which are required to collect the information for the Financial Transactions and Reports Analysis Centre (FinTRAC).
B.C. Finance Minister Mike de Jong said he is confident provincial auditors will be more successful. “The objective here is to get beyond the theory, get beyond the conjecture and the speculation and actually have hard data,” he told reporters on Tuesday.
They also announced new requirements to deal with bare trusts:
The new disclosure rules will also create new data on the use of bare trusts, after an investigative report in The Globe showed how such trusts may be used to transfer property ownership without paying the property transfer tax. Mr. de Jong said the data, which must be provided on the new property transfer tax return form, will be shared with Revenue Canada.
Such data are supposed to be collected under Canadian law, but a federal audit of paperwork in Vancouver realty offices found many instances where required filings were significantly lacking.
And of course the dreaded ‘shadow flipping‘:
The new regulation – which applies only to licensed realtors – will not ban contract assignment but seeks to ensure that the seller consents to such an arrangement and is the one who profits if the property is resold before the deal is closed.
So presumably the best way to continue shadow flipping is to avoid being a licensed realtor. Read the full article over at the Globe and Mail.
A recent report out of SFUs school of public policy is generating headlines that are rather extreme:
Foreign buyers crushing Vancouver home dreams as governments do little.
“People recognize what’s going on, and they’re willing to call a spade a spade,” he said, stressing that such views are based on reality, not racism.
His report compiles a number of other studies, including data on home-buying trends, population density, the cancelled immigrant investor program, and American research on the same issue.
Gordon said his report blames Vancouver’s housing crisis on foreign buyers, particularly from China, because “this is where the evidence points, not because of some anti-Chinese animus.”
Chinese investors have also spiked home prices in the Toronto region, but Vancouver has seen the highest rise in real estate due to the influx of foreign money reaching an unprecedented level in the last year, he said.
Gordon noted that other countries, including Australia and Singapore, have created policies for foreign homebuyers to protect their own citizens but that hasn’t happened in Canada.
Read the full article over at the CBC.
This is the day!
Time for our traditional Friday free-for-all post where we round up recent news and have our open topic discussion thread for the weekend.
Here are a few recent links to kick off the chat:
–If I can do it, you can do it
–Another Hollywood hater
–Vancouver stressful for millennials
–Why own and be in debt?
–All in for RE
–Cariboo deals with Vancouver invaders
So what are you seeing out there? Post your news links, thoughts and anecdotes below and have an excellent weekend!