Vancouver Condo Info

Canadian Mortgage Trends has an article about getting your mortgage approved before prices fall.

When home prices do fall, it makes it tougher for certain people to qualify for a mortgage—especially for refinances. When prices start dropping, appraisals come in lower, insurer valuation systems become more conservative, and lenders tighten up in general.

Vince Gaetano, a broker with Monster Mortgage, tells the Financial Post that people are already trying to get approved “before there is a correction in the real estate market.”

Of course prices may fall in the rest of Canada, but we all know they won’t fall here in Vancouver right guys?

We posted this in the free for all, but it’s worth taking a closer look: Eleven pre-sales buyers at the Vancouver Olympic Village are unhappy with their units and are trying to get out of their contract. They complain about changes to plan and faulty fireplaces. Presales contracts of course always favor the developer, and these issues aren’t enough to break the agreement, so the approach their lawyer is taking is to claim that the City of Vancouver took over as developer. Since they aren’t listed on the paperwork this would be a technicality that could nullify the contract. If they manage to make this argument work and other buyers want a way out of their purchases it could be more trouble for the O.V.

The buyers put down deposits of between $60,000 and $300,000 for False Creek condos priced from a low of $550,000 to units that sold in the millions of dollars.

They’re being asked to close their deals by the end of the month.

On Thursday, Baynham filed writs in B.C. Supreme Court against developer Millennium Water on behalf of six of his clients, who have addresses in Vancouver and West Vancouver.

Baynham says the City of Vancouver is the owner of the property, after bailing out Millennium when it couldn’t get financing. But that’s not disclosed in the sales agreements, he says, so the contracts are invalid and should be rescinded.

The city argues that Millenium still owns the project and is the developer, the city is simply the bank.

We saw a lot of pre-sales buyers try to walk away from their contracts during the mini-crash a few years ago, and developers suing the for the difference between their deposit and the current market value. It’s interesting that these buyers are trying to get out of their contracts while the stats still show that Vancouver property prices are still at an all-time record high.

Yesterday we posted a link to an article about the high number of properties for sale in Vancouver. What’s possibly more interesting than the sheer number of listings in the very high number of price reductions we’re currently seeing. Yesterday Paulb shared numbers that showed 232 new listings and 56 sales, but nearly 3 times that number of price changes at 162.

We’ve seen many days where price changes have exceeded 200. Even with listings for the REBGV area nearing 19,000 Mclovin points out that we’re consistently seeing about 1% of total inventory drop their price every single day. That means about 5% of all listings in Vancouver are reducing their asking price each week.

River Green, The massive planned housing development advertised as Richmonds ‘very own coal harbor’ sold out this weekend, setting a new record for Richmond presales.

The biggest purchase was by a family who bought four suites valued at $5 million. Four penthouses also sold on the opening weekend at over $3.4 million. The 150 condo complex set Richmond sales records for individual condominium sale price and price per square foot.

Condo developer George Wong says this proves the once down and out real estate market is back. “It does set the tone for Lower Mainland real estate strengths. Certainly hope this is a shot in the arm for real estate in the province.”

The 28-acre luxury waterfront community is expected to take 15 years to build.

In fifteen years those buyers will either be thrilled they bought now before they were priced out forever, or potentially not so thrilled if the housing market fails to thrive. You’re going to have to wait 15 years to find the answer to that one.

US incentive programs for home buyers have expired and it looks like the real estate industry hasn’t got enough momentum to lift the US economy. Even with rock-bottom interest rates the industry is slumping.

WASHINGTON – Homebuilders are sending a message: They won’t be able to contribute much to the economic recovery now that government home-buying incentives have vanished.

Home construction and applications for building permits sank in May, overshadowing favorable reports on manufacturing and wholesale inflation.

Fewer homes mean fewer jobs. Construction fuels a broad swath of industries across the economy. Yet double-digit unemployment is among the main reasons people have passed on buying new homes.

The solution is simple. Government must take on more debt and pour more stimulus dollars into the economy, then the problem will be solved and everyone can get back to living the good life.

Home sales in BC are down 11 percent in May 2010 compared to April, but prices are up and set to flatten according to the BC Real Estate Association.

The survey also concluded that, year-to-date, B.C. residential sales dollar volume increased 50 per cent to $17.5 billion, compared to the same period last year. Residential sales rose 31 per cent to 34,619 year-to-date, while the average price climbed 14 per cent to $505,468 over the same period.

The BCREA said in another recent survey that it expects sales to rise next year by about four per cent.

A separate survey by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) recently forecast that prices would rise 2.3 per cent this year across the province before slipping back by 3.5 per cent in 2011.

Full article in the Vancouver Sun

One reason Canadian cities can never have a housing bubble like they had in the US is that our lenders are much more diligent and properly manage risk. At least that’s what I heard, so you can imagine my surprise when I read this article where two different Canadian banks gave mortgages to a grow op owner with no proof of income:

Alarm bells should have gone off the moment Hai Le walked into the Bank of Montreal and asked to refinance the mortgage on his million-dollar home in Vancouver’s up-and-coming Marpole area.

His alleged inability to provide proof he had the means to make the hefty monthly payments of about $4,000 should have been reason enough to crumple up and toss the application into the nearest trash can.

Le, a “sales manager,” was also asking the bank to mortgage the property for its full value, a strategy that authorities say marijuana growers often use to minimize their losses should and when they get busted.

Yet despite these blatant red flags, the bank approved Le’s application for a $976,000 mortgage on Oct. 22, 2008, some 15 months after he’d bought the house from a Viet Van Truong for $980,000.

Ten months after the purchase, in August 2009, Vancouver police raided Le’s West 63rd Avenue home and uncovered a massive grow-op. Two days later, Le sought and received a $70,000 mortgage from the Royal Bank of Canada.

The Forefeiture Office is now seeking to have the mortgage proceeds seized from the bank. Read the full mind-boggling article in the province. Thanks to Jimmy for the link!

Surprisingly affordable to lease retail space that is. Colliers has released their global survey of retail space lease rates and the most expensive places in Canada are in Toronto and Montreal at about $300 us per square foot.

Robson street in Vancouver came in 51st in the survey at a surprisingly affordable $196.08, which looks even cheaper when compared to what I like to refer to as our ’sister cities’ New York and Paris (which are cities just like Vancouver, but bigger with more money.) Both those cities topped $1,250 per square foot, but then they don’t have the HST.

The BC Real Estate Association has generously released to the public their market forecast for the near future so that all investors may partake of their wisdom. As they look ahead, they see a slowdown for 2010 before sales grow again in 2011. Even closer to home this is what they foresee for Vancouver:

For Metro Vancouver, sales are forecast to drop 7.9 per cent this year and rise 4.5 per cent in 2011 to 34,900 units. Prices are expected to increase 10.7 per cent this year in Greater Vancouver to $655,900 and 0.4 per cent in 2011 to $658,800.

For prices across BC the BCREA is predicting a rise of 6% this year and 1% next year. Evidently they use a different brand of Crystal Ball than the Canadian Real Estate Association:

..a survey by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) released last week forecast that prices would rise 2.3 per cent this year to $476,900 before slipping back 3.5 per cent in 2011.

The CREA survey also predicted that sales across the province would decrease almost six per cent to 80,000 transactions this year.

Read the full article over at the Vancouver Sun.

Landcor data is out and in the first three months of 2010 both the number and value of BC real estate transactions dropped more than 25% from the previous quarter.

The results quantify the trend economists such as Cameron Muir, chief economist for the B.C. Real Estate Association, have observed occurring since January.

Landcor’s numbers “certainly support the data we’ve been looking at that shows that obviously the pace of sales have slowed since the last quarter of 2009,” Muir said in an interview.

Last year’s “fourth-quarter peak is unlikely to reoccur in 2010.”

Landcor president Rudy Nielsen said B.C. home sales typically slow at the beginning of the year, but the first-quarter of 2010 slowed more than usual compared with the last decade of results. This is in part, he believes, because of the Olympics.

Nielsen added that consumer uncertainty over a host of issues, ranging from the global economic situation to unknown effects of the harmonized sales tax, have consumers sitting on their wallets.

The agency, which insures almost $500-million of Canadian mortgages, said the average cost of a home by the end of 2011 should be $350,000. That would be a gain of 1.4 per cent over April’s record high of $344,968.

Forecasting higher prices next year puts the agency at odds with the Canadian Real Estate Association and Toronto-Dominion Bank, both of which are calling for prices to drop by 1.5 per cent and 2.7 per cent respectively in 2011.