Category Archives: hype

We’re all super-high on housing

From southseacompany, confidence in the Canadian housing market has reached a record high:

“The experts are getting louder in their warnings that a housing bubble has formed in some parts of Canada, but Canadians don’t seem worried.”

“In fact, confidence in the housing market hit a record high in the latest weekly Bloomberg-Nanos index — even as respondents turned negative on their own personal finances.”

“The survey found 48.5 per cent of Canadians expect house prices to rise in the next six months, the highest level recorded in the survey since 2008. Fewer than 11 per cent expect to see house prices decrease.”

Read the full article over at Huffington Post.

Blame Mark Carney for Canada’s Housing Bubble?

The Financial Post has an article that lays the blame for the enormous Canadian housing bubble on former Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney:

Carney, perhaps even more than former Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, was an excellent crisis central banker. Unfortunately, he did not nail the dismount.

After it became clear in 2010 that the developed world had exited the financial crisis, Carney raised rates just a little, to 1 per cent, and then left them there until 2013, when he joined the Bank of England.

Seems like joining the Bank of England should count as nailing the dismount.

If Canada has a hard landing, accompanied by a severe recession or a depression, Carney’s (and to a lesser extent, Poloz’s) mistake will have been unforgivable.

Read the full article over at the financial post.

NDP proposes $400 rental grant

The NDP is promising to implement a $400 rental grant if elected.  This grant would be applicable to all rentals and would have the side effect of pretty much putting an end to rental income tax evasion.

Christy Clark is disturbed by the idea of money going to “wealthy renters”

“That isn’t right,” Clark said. “We shouldn’t be redistributing our tax money to the very rich. We should be making sure that we spend our resources supporting people who are having trouble staying in their homes.”

The NDP also pledges to close a fixed term lease rent loophole that lets some landlords raise rents higher than otherwise allowed.

Read the full article here.

Have we seen this movie before? Canada surpasses US bubble peak

Even outside of ridiculous vancouver, this nation is real estate crazy. In many key metrics Canada has surpassed the US housing bubble at its peak.

As David Rosenberg, the chief economist at Gluskin Sheff told BNN Thursday, “This bubble is on par with what we had in the States back in ’05, ’06, ’07. We have to actually take a look at the situation. The housing market here is in a classic price bubble. If you don’t acknowledge that, you have your head in the sand.”

Read the full article over at Macleans.

Vancouver homes lost 49% of their down payment in one year.

Southseacompany pointed out this article at global news: according to zolo, Vancouver home prices have lost almost half of their down payment value in one year.

“Once considered Canada’s hottest locale for real estate, home values in the West Coast city took a beating over the course of a year, with the average home price dropping from over $1.1 million in February 2016 to $995,583 a year later.”

“Zoocasa calculated the loss (or gain) of return by taking the year-over-year change in average home prices and then dividing it by the down payment buyers would have had to make in February 2016.”

“By this measure, Vancouverites lost 49 per cent of the return on their down payments.”

Read the full article here.