Category Archives: opinion

Happy New Year! The Real Estate Market in 2019

It’s the beginning of a whole new year and that means it’s time for expert predictions about the Real Estate market in 2019:

From the Professor:

“My guess is 2019 will not be a banner year for sales in Greater Vancouver and I expect further price declines,” said Tom Davidoff, an associate professor at UBC’s Sauder School of Business.

From the Accountant:

Historically, the real estate industry has been a “laggard” when it comes to embracing technology, says Frank Magliocco, a partner at PwC Canada who specializes in the housing market.

“But I think what you’re going to see now is a fairly significant ramp up in embracing that technology once it becomes more mainstream,” he said.

“It’ll be increasingly important to remain and be competitive in the marketplace. Once you see these technologies prove out, you’ll see more and more adoption.”

On Quantative Tightening:

When it comes to reversing their crisis-era bond buying, central bankers are focused on the destination. Traders in risk assets care more about what could be a painful journey.

The tension may prove even more consequential in 2019 now that the European Central Bank is stopping — though not yet unwinding — asset purchases. Bank of America Corp. analysts say liquidity from the developed world’s four major central banks will contract by $200 billion next year, driving volatility in the riskier markets that thrived under quantitative easing.

From the Real Estate Salespeople:

Even though British Columbia is expected to lead the country’s year-over-year decline in home sales in 2019, the provincial average resale price will rise slightly, according to a national real estate forecast published December 17.

The average sale price of a B.C. home sold on the Multiple Listing Service next year will be $720,000 – a rise of 0.9 per cent over 2018’s figure, predicted the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA).

Your predictions for 2019

Ever felt like telling the future?

What do you foresee happening to the local economy an housing market in 2019? Where will interest rates go?

The Bank of Canada seems to think we’re not in for hot growth and are keeping rates flat for the moment.

A couple of brokerages predict prices will stay flat or decline only slightly in 2019.

The general consensus and safe bet is to predict a status quo situation.  No major drops or increases in the market.  That sound about right?

Bank of Canada warns of housing market vulnerability

The bank that cried wolf: Housing market vulnerabilities are still high.

Vulnerabilities in the Canadian housing market are still high despite rising interest rates and tighter mortgage rules, Bank of Canada Senior Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins said on Thursday.

It also released results of a model it said showed Canadian banks’ capital positions would not be affected by a 20 percent correction in the housing market, with the biggest declines in Toronto and Vancouver.

Read the full article here.

Runaway market taking ‘a breather’

As you may be aware it is always a good time to buy or sell real estate according to most real estate professionals who earn their living by buying and selling real estate.

Well right now it’s a great time to buy or sell real estate because the runaway market is taking a breather.

It’s a “soft landing,” according to Royal LePage CEO Phil Soper, who says their latest house price survey shows the effects of government measures to cool things down.

What were previously called the “dangerously overheated” conditions in Metro Vancouver housing have cooled significantly, but prices have remained resilient.

He says it’s the soft landing policy-makers had hoped for, rather than a crash.

“But it won’t stay this way for long. Household formation in Canada… is going to grow rapidly,” he predicts.

Read the full article here.

Hey Vancouver! Why so miserable?

You’d think that living in a great city would make you happy, but apparently that’s not true for everyone.  Southseacompany points out this article about why people in Vancouver and Toronto are so unhappy.

Vancouver is now a place you try to survive as much as enjoy. All the problems are well known, the greatest being the high cost of housing. When you, as a young person, have little hope of making a comfortable life in a city that you love, of course it’s going to cause unhappiness. There is a sense that Vancouver is being yanked away from those who love it most, taken over by mercantilists and arrivistes from around the world who care little about a city’s “soul” so long as the skiing’s good and there’s a place that sells beluga caviar. And then there are those sitting on a lottery ticket with the house they bought years ago, waiting to cash out, and those sitting on a mountain of debt, praying interest rates don’t go up. It doesn’t sound like the kind of environment that would engender a cool community vibe, a place where relationships between people can flourish. And that, I think, is what the survey on happiness has tapped into.

Read the full article here.