They expect a 25% drop in some regions:
Canada’s national housing agency says the number of new homes being built and sold will remain below the levels they were at before COVID-19 until 2022 at least, and prices won’t get back to where they were for another two years either.
In a special report, the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation said Wednesday that the COVID-19 pandemic will lead to a “historic recession in 2020,” which will lead to “significant falls in indicators of the housing market.”
Just like the flu, but more so!
Spam filter seems to be back on track, so that’s good news.
Let’s do our end of the week news round up and open topic discussion, here are a few recent links to kick off the chat:
–Downturn in sales expected to last for years
–Who will buy the new supply?
–Falling rents pose a big risk
–Inflation turns negative
–Ready to go back to school?
–Deferral cliff could see 18% house price drop
So what are you seeing out there? Post your news links, thoughts and anecdotes in the comments below and have an excellent weekend!
Yeah, so you probably noticed the spam filter collapsed and just nuked everyone – we’ve switched that over and we’ll see if the new one works or not.
As far as news goes we seem to be in a holding pattern. Covid 19 has knocked out the market for listings and sales but we’re not seeing a big impact on prices yet with less moving.
How do you think this thing is going to pan out? Bounce back or bust?
We’re living in interesting time. Interest rates are super-low and going lower which should drive down the cost of a mortgage, but at the same time we have a very unusual economic slowdown across the board.
Some people even thing this could have an effect on the Vancouver real estate market:
” Interest-rate drops usually fuel housing sales, but this time they will be more than offset by the “unprecedented paralysis of economic and social activity” during the COVID-19 pandemic, causing B.C. homes sales to drop this spring, the B.C. Real Estate Association predicted March 17.”
“All four scenarios predicted home sales in the province would drop in the spring and early summer. The market would then likely rebound in the second half of the year “contingent on the outbreak resolving.” However, only one of the scenarios found that home sales in the province would recover to a point of activity higher than if there had been no pandemic, with the other three forecasting a more muted recovery”
read the full article here.
It’s a buyers market for.. well stocks and oil anyways.
Will plummeting interest rates make real estate more appealing or will a hit to the wider economy drive down house prices?
What’s your bet?