According to Paulb the listings odometer just rolled over the 13,000 mark.
As of last night the inventory count hit 13,035.
Of course that means it’s time for a party.
Any one think it’s possible that we might hit 14k before the month end expiries kick in?
Crashcow points out that it could happen:
Avg daily inventory growth this month: 125
Projected month-end inventory: 14,406
Although possible doesn’t mean probably. Historically sales pick up past the halfway point in January according to VHB:
For the quant-minded, some numbers!
period sell list percent
2011Jan1sthalf 70 216 33%
2011Jan2ndhalf 110 260 42%
2012Jan1sthalf 57 271 21%
2012Jan2ndhalf 90 277 32%
2013Jan1sthalf 54 227 24%
So, if this January follows the pattern we can expect about a 50% increase in sales in the 2nd half of the month. This would mean we should average around 80 sales/day in the 2nd half of Jan2013. Listings might tick up a bit, but not by 50%.